Los Angeles Dodgers vs Minnesota Twins Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday June 24 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 06/24/2026, 09:07 AM ET
Padres vs Dodgers picks

Wednesday night's interleague series finale at 7:40 p.m. ET features one of the most dominant pitchers on the planet in a road sweep attempt, and if you have been sharpening your slate with our MLB picks, the Los Angeles Dodgers and Minnesota Twins Game 3 is the marquee pitching matchup of the evening. Los Angeles enters 51-29 and first in the NL West after taking the first two games by scores of 2-1 and 12-3, while Minnesota sits at 38-43 trying to avoid a home sweep against the best team in baseball. The Dodgers are priced around -181 and the total sits at 8, and Shohei Ohtani on the mound makes every single number in this game look like an undervaluation of what Los Angeles is capable of doing on a given night.

Quick Picks

  • Side Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-105)
  • Total Pick: Under 8
  • Projected Final Score: Dodgers 5, Twins 2

Odds and Line Movement

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers -181 Over 8 (-111)
Minnesota Twins +149 Under 8 (-109)

Line Movement - Moneyline

Date Time LA Dodgers Minnesota Public ($, #)
06/24 03:06:16 AM -181 +149 LAD 100%, LAD 94%
06/23 09:39:54 PM -185 +152
06/23 08:54:45 PM -186 +153

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
06/24 08:49:41 AM 8 (-111) 8 (-109) OV 99%, OV 75%
06/24 08:44:32 AM 8 (-104) 8 (-115) OV 99%, OV 75%
06/24 08:06:11 AM 7.5 (-118) 7.5 (-102) OV 99%, OV 82%
06/24 07:38:10 AM 7.5 (-119) 7.5 (-102) OV 100%, OV 88%
06/24 07:17:10 AM 7.5 (-119) 7.5 (-101) OV 100%, OV 83%
06/24 06:36:20 AM 7.5 (-118) 7.5 (-102) OV 90%, OV 75%
06/24 06:23:39 AM 7.5 (-119) 7.5 (-101) OV 90%, OV 75%
06/24 03:44:08 AM 7.5 (-120) 7.5 (-101) OV 89%, OV 67%
06/24 03:06:16 AM 7.5 (-120) 7.5 (+100) OV 89%, OV 67%
06/23 10:20:03 PM 7.5 (-118) 7.5 (-102)
06/23 10:18:53 PM 7.5 (-117) 7.5 (-103)
06/23 10:15:52 PM 7.5 (-118) 7.5 (-102)
06/23 10:08:13 PM 7.5 (-117) 7.5 (-103)
06/23 10:05:33 PM 7.5 (-118) 7.5 (-102)
06/23 10:04:34 PM 7.5 (-117) 7.5 (-103)
06/23 10:02:44 PM 7.5 (-118) 7.5 (-102)
06/23 10:02:13 PM 7.5 (-117) 7.5 (-102)
06/23 10:00:14 PM 7.5 (-117) 7.5 (-103)
06/23 09:59:14 PM 7.5 (-116) 7.5 (-103)
06/23 09:58:44 PM 7.5 (-117) 7.5 (-103)
06/23 09:56:34 PM 7.5 (-116) 7.5 (-104)
06/23 09:54:54 PM 7.5 (-117) 7.5 (-103)
06/23 09:47:04 PM 7.5 (-116) 7.5 (-104)
06/23 09:46:54 PM 7.5 (-116) 7.5 (-103)
06/23 08:54:45 PM 7.5 (-116) 7.5 (-104)

Dodgers vs Twins Key Matchups and Game Preview

Shohei Ohtani is the story of this game and, on most nights this season, the story of the entire sport. Ohtani enters Wednesday at 7-2 with a 1.47 ERA, a 0.88 WHIP, 78 strikeouts, and only three home runs allowed across 73.2 innings. Read those numbers again: three home runs surrendered in nearly 74 innings, and a WHIP that essentially means Ohtani allows fewer than one baserunner per inning across a multi-month sample against major league competition. Against a Minnesota lineup with legitimate power in Byron Buxton, those numbers are not a guarantee, but they represent an overwhelming starting pitcher advantage that makes every other variable in this game secondary.

Joe Ryan is not overmatched in raw stuff, which is the reason this game still deserves analysis beyond simply noting Ohtani is pitching. Ryan enters at 5-3 with a 2.99 ERA, a 1.00 WHIP, and 99 strikeouts across 87.1 innings. Those are genuine quality starter numbers, and Ryan gives Minnesota a real path to keeping this game competitive deep into the evening. A 2.99 ERA against a Los Angeles offense that has scored 419 runs and hit 108 home runs represents legitimate run prevention, and the Twins will need Ryan to match Ohtani in effectiveness through the first six innings to create the conditions for a competitive game late.

The offensive gap between these teams is as wide as the pitching matchup suggests it should be. Los Angeles is batting .261 with 419 runs, 108 home runs, a .345 OBP, and a .438 slugging percentage. Minnesota counters with 100 home runs and 392 runs, but trails the Dodgers in average, OBP, and slugging — a gap that reflects not just raw power but the sustained quality of contact and plate discipline that separates a 51-win team from a 38-win team at this stage of the season.

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Ohtani is also the Dodgers' leading offensive contributor among the listed batting leaders, posting 17 home runs, a .293 average, a .414 OBP, and a .552 slugging percentage on top of his starting pitching excellence. Andy Pages has driven in 58 runs to provide depth in the middle of the Los Angeles order, and the Dodgers' lineup depth makes them dangerous even when individual contributors are limited by injury.

Byron Buxton carries Minnesota's most dangerous power profile with 25 home runs, a .595 slugging percentage, and 41 RBI, and he represents the singular bat most capable of changing this game's outcome with one swing against Ohtani. Josh Bell has driven in 49 runs to provide secondary run production, but the Twins' ability to score in meaningful quantities against a pitcher with Ohtani's current ERA and WHIP requires sustained multi-hit sequences that Minnesota's lineup has not consistently demonstrated this season against elite starters.

The series context underscores the difficulty of Minnesota's situation. Los Angeles won Game 1 by a score of 2-1 — a tight game that shows even a quality Ryan-level start does not guarantee the Twins enough offense to win — and blew the series open with a 12-3 win in Game 2. The Dodgers come into Wednesday with exactly the momentum and starter combination that makes a sweep the expected outcome rather than the surprising one.

  • Los Angeles attracted 100% of both tickets and dollars at the 3:06 AM moneyline timestamp on June 24, a complete early market consensus that reflects how one-sided the public and sharp money have been on the Dodgers in this matchup.
  • The Dodgers' moneyline has actually softened from -186 at the June 23 open to -181 at the latest reading, a five-cent move toward Minnesota that suggests some two-way action has entered the market despite the 100% ticket and 94% dollar lean on Los Angeles. That line softening at -181 makes the Dodgers moneyline fractionally more attractive than it was at open.
  • The total jumped a full half run from 7.5 to 8 between the June 24 8:06 AM and 8:44 AM timestamps, a significant market adjustment that confirms the books updated their projection of the run environment as morning money came in on the Over side of the 7.5 total.
  • The Over attracted 99-100% of public tickets and 67-88% of dollars across multiple overnight timestamps at the 7.5 total before the number moved, reflecting extreme and consistent one-directional action that forced the half-run adjustment.
  • At the 8 total, the Over juice settled at -104 initially before moving to -111, while the Under improved from -115 to -109 — a juice compression that reflects two-way action after the line moved to accommodate the earlier Over pressure.
  • Despite the total move, the Under at -109 on an 8-run total with Ohtani starting and Ryan countering is the better-priced side of a game that both starters' profiles project to stay well under in combined scoring.

Key Injuries and Things To Know - LAD and MIN

  • Kyle Tucker (LAD) - Day-to-Day: Tucker's availability is an important lineup variable for Los Angeles. His presence adds depth and power to the Dodgers' order, and his uncertain status is the most consequential day-to-day note for a team otherwise operating from a position of roster strength.
  • Dalton Rushing (LAD) - Day-to-Day: Rushing's status adds a secondary lineup uncertainty for the Dodgers heading into the series finale, though Los Angeles has sufficient depth to absorb individual absences without significantly altering the overall offensive projection.
  • Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) - 10-Day Injured List: Hernandez's absence removes a power bat from the middle of the Dodgers' order, reducing the lineup depth slightly even as Los Angeles remains one of the most offensively productive teams in the National League.
  • Evan Phillips (LAD) - 60-Day Injured List: Phillips' long-term absence reduces the Dodgers' bullpen depth for late-game situations, which matters most in close games where Los Angeles needs to protect a one or two-run lead through the seventh and eighth innings.
  • Ryan Jeffers (MIN) - Injured List: Jeffers' absence hurts Minnesota's catcher depth and lineup construction, removing a key backstop from the Twins' roster in a game where every positional decision matters against an elite starting pitcher.
  • Julian Merryweather (MIN) - Injured List: Merryweather's absence reduces Minnesota's bullpen depth behind Ryan, which becomes a critical concern if the Twins need to bridge innings in a close game after Ryan exits.
  • Matt Canterino (MIN) - Injured List: Canterino's unavailability adds to Minnesota's overall pitching depth reductions and limits the relief options available in the late innings against the Dodgers' lineup.
  • Kaelen Culpepper (MIN) - Injured List: Culpepper's absence further thins the Twins' bullpen behind Ryan, creating additional late-game vulnerability if the game remains competitive into the seventh inning.
  • Cole Sands (MIN) - Injured List: Sands' unavailability rounds out a group of four Minnesota bullpen absences that leaves the Twins with a shortened and potentially stressed relief corps in a sweep-avoiding situation against the Dodgers.

Dodgers vs Twins Side and Over/Under Picks

  • Side Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-105) — The run line at -105 is a dramatically more efficient entry than the moneyline at -181. Ohtani's 1.47 ERA and 0.88 WHIP project a start where the Twins score two or fewer runs in the majority of outcomes, and the Dodgers' offense against Minnesota's 4.83 team ERA projects enough run support to cover a two-run margin comfortably. Getting the run line at -105 on a team this structurally dominant is the most efficient play on the entire Wednesday card.
  • Total Pick: Under 8 — The total moved a half run from 7.5 to 8 on Over pressure, which has actually created better Under value than existed before the number moved. At -109, the Under on an 8-run total with Ohtani posting a 1.47 ERA and Ryan posting a 2.99 ERA is one of the more straightforward plays of the day. Both starters' profiles project a sub-8-run game, and the projected final of Dodgers 5, Twins 2 lands well within the Under threshold even in a scenario where Los Angeles bats are productive.

Final Score Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers 5, Minnesota Twins 2. Ohtani works seven innings and limits the Twins to two runs on the strength of his elite WHIP and home run suppression, the Dodgers generate enough offense against Ryan to build a comfortable lead through the middle innings, and the Under 8 cashes in a game that reflects exactly what happens when the best pitcher in baseball faces a team 13 games under .500 in a sweep situation.

How to Wager On Dodgers vs Twins

The primary play in this game is Los Angeles -1.5 at -105, and it is one of the most straightforwardly efficient run line prices you will encounter on a game featuring the best pitcher in baseball. At -105 you are laying minimal juice for the privilege of needing the Dodgers to win by two or more against a team they have already beaten 2-1 and 12-3 in this series with Ohtani on the mound. Pair that with the Under at -109 and you have a two-bet approach that does not require the Dodgers to blow Minnesota out — it only requires Ohtani to pitch like Ohtani, which his 1.47 ERA suggests is the baseline expectation rather than the optimistic projection.

For bettors who want tools that can help identify run line value and Under edges on elite starter matchups throughout the season, our AI picks review page covers the leading platforms worth knowing about. Our Dimers review and Oddible review are both strong resources for identifying run line and totals value in games where a single elite starter creates asymmetric pricing opportunities across multiple bet types.

Before placing your bets, confirm Kyle Tucker's and Dalton Rushing's day-to-day statuses as close to the 7:40 p.m. ET first pitch as possible. If both are active, the Dodgers' offensive depth improves and the run line case strengthens. The Under play holds regardless of lineup construction — Ohtani's ERA and WHIP are not lineup-dependent numbers. Lock in the -1.5 at -105 and the Under at -109 before the morning line moves further on either side ahead of what should be one of the best-pitched games of the Wednesday card.

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