Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday July 24 2026
The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets open a three-game series Friday night at Citi Field, and this Dodgers vs Mets prediction breaks down the odds, matchups and betting value bettors need before first pitch at 7:10 PM ET. With Los Angeles already sweeping the first three meetings between these clubs, bettors chasing more value across the slate can check our MLB picks hub for additional plays tonight.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+104)
- Total Pick: Over 9 (-107)
- Projected Final Score: Dodgers 7, Mets 4
Odds and Line Movement
Los Angeles' moneyline has held mostly steady this week, opening at -159 Wednesday afternoon and settling in the -156 to -157 range with the current number sitting at -156, while New York has moved from +132 down to +129 over the same stretch. The total has swung significantly, opening at 8Âœo-113/8Âœu-107 Wednesday afternoon, spiking as high as 9o+100/9u-120, and settling at 9o-102/9u-119 as of Friday morning.
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | -156 | O 9 (-102) / U 9 (-119) |
| New York Mets | +129 |
Line Movement - Moneyline
| Date | Time | LA Dodgers | NY Mets | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/24 | 04:55:05 AM | -156 | +129 | LAD 94%, 89% |
| 07/23 | 08:48:28 PM | -156 | +129 | LAD 87%, 87% |
| 07/23 | 08:48:28 PM | -156 | +129 | LAD 91%, 88% |
| 07/23 | 08:48:28 PM | -157 | +130 | LAD 94%, 87% |
| 07/23 | 07:04:45 PM | -157 | +130 | LAD 87%, 90% |
| 07/23 | 05:23:35 PM | -156 | +129 | LAD 89%, 94% |
| 07/23 | 03:38:56 PM | -157 | +130 | |
| 07/23 | 03:35:55 PM | -157 | +130 | |
| 07/23 | 03:29:15 PM | -159 | +132 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/24 | 04:55:05 AM | 9o-102 | 9u-119 | |
| 07/23 | 07:04:45 PM | 9o-107 | 9u-113 | |
| 07/23 | 03:38:56 PM | 9o-105 | 9u-115 | |
| 07/23 | 03:37:25 PM | 9o+100 | 9u-120 | |
| 07/23 | 03:35:55 PM | 9o-105 | 9u-115 | |
| 07/23 | 03:29:15 PM | 8Âœo-113 | 8Âœu-107 |
Dodgers vs Mets Key Matchups and Game Preview
Los Angeles owns the National League's best displayed record at 65-38 and has won two straight games, while New York sits at 43-60, 17.5 games behind Atlanta in the NL East. The Dodgers can also be backed at +104 to cover 1.5 runs, while the Mets are -126 with the run-line cushion.
Sasaki vs Manaea
Roki Sasaki starts for the Dodgers with a 3-5 record, 4.98 ERA and 1.34 WHIP across 86.2 innings. The right-hander has recorded 85 strikeouts but allowed 19 home runs, creating some concern against a Mets lineup with several capable power hitters. Sean Manaea counters for New York carrying a 2-5 record, 4.74 ERA and 1.36 WHIP through 79.2 innings. Manaea has struck out 81 and issued only 26 walks, but he has allowed 82 hits and 12 homers, and the left-hander faces a difficult matchup against a deep Dodgers lineup that has produced a .260 average, .341 on-base percentage and .432 slugging percentage.
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Dodgers Offense
Los Angeles has scored 535 runs compared with New York's 419 while also holding a 134-121 advantage in home runs. Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 22 homers and 60 RBIs while batting .284, Freddie Freeman owns a team-best .289 average and .373 OBP, and Andy Pages has driven in 68 runs.
Mets Offense
Juan Soto has carried the Mets with a .283 average, 21 home runs, 52 RBIs, a .404 OBP and .539 slugging percentage, but New York's lineup has lacked enough consistent support around him.
Los Angeles' Pitching Edge
The Dodgers also hold major pitching advantages with a 3.55 team ERA, 1.14 WHIP and .216 opponent batting average, compared with New York's 4.23 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and .237 opponent average.
LAD and NYM Betting Trends
Los Angeles has already swept the first three meetings between these clubs by a combined score of 14-3, and the moneyline has stayed anchored around -156 to -159 all week, reflecting consistent market confidence in the Dodgers. The total's climb from 8Âœo-113 up to as high as 9o+100 before settling near 9o-102 signals growing belief that this game can clear the number given both offenses' recent production.
LAD and NYM Key Injuries and Things To Know
Los Angeles is dealing with pitching injuries involving Blake Treinen, Edwin Diaz, Ben Casparius and Tyler Glasnow, while Enrique Hernandez's absence reduces lineup versatility. The Mets are missing Mark Vientos, weakening their power depth, while the absences of Dedniel Nunez, Austin Warren, Clay Holmes and Justin Hageman further strain the pitching staff.
Dodgers vs Mets Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+104)
- Total Pick: Over 9 (-107)
Los Angeles swept the first three meetings by a combined score of 14-3, and its superior offense and bullpen should overcome Sasaki's inconsistency, with both lineups' recent power numbers supporting a game that clears the total.
Final Score Prediction
- Dodgers 7, Mets 4
How to Wager On Dodgers vs Mets
Bettors weighing Los Angeles on the run line or leaning toward the Over in this series opener have several tools available to help sharpen the process before placing a wager. Our AI picks hub compiles model-driven projections for spots like this one, while a closer look at the Dimers review and the Oddible review can help bettors compare how different projection systems are pricing Los Angeles' offensive edge over a Mets team that has struggled to support Soto. Given the movement on both the run line and total, shopping for the best number on Dodgers -1.5 or Over 9 before first pitch is worth the extra effort in a series where Los Angeles has already dominated the head-to-head matchup.
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