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Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Picks and Prediction for Monday May 18 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/18/2026, 01:00 AM ET

The Los Angeles Dodgers travel to face the San Diego Padres on Monday, May 18, 2026, at Petco Park in San Diego, California. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 PM ET with coverage on MLB.TV. Los Angeles enters the matchup as a -157 favorite on the moneyline, while San Diego is listed at +130. The total is set at 7.5 runs, with the Dodgers -1.5 on the run line at +109 and the Padres +1.5 at -132. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

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The Dodgers are expected to start Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who enters with a 3-3 record, 3.60 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 50.0 innings pitched, 40 hits allowed, 48 strikeouts, 10 walks, and eight home runs allowed. San Diego counters with Michael King, who is 3-2 with a 2.63 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 51.1 innings pitched, 34 hits allowed, 50 strikeouts, 22 walks, and four home runs allowed. Both pitchers enter this matchup with strong strikeout numbers and WHIPs near 1.00, while King carries the lower ERA entering the series opener.

Dodgers Arrive Red Hot at the Plate

Los Angeles enters Monday night with a 29-18 overall record and a 14-8 record on the road. The Dodgers recently won over the Angels 10-1, 15-2, and 6-0 during a dominant series sweep. Before that, Los Angeles recently won over San Francisco 5-2 and 4-0. The Dodgers have now won five straight games while allowing only five combined runs during that stretch.

The Dodgers are batting .263 with 238 runs, 406 hits, 62 home runs, a .344 on-base percentage, and a .435 slugging percentage. On the mound, Los Angeles owns a 3.26 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP, 133 walks, 412 strikeouts, and a .213 opponent batting average.

The biggest strength for Los Angeles is overall balance. The Dodgers enter with advantages in batting average, runs scored, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Their offense and pitching staff have both performed at a high level during the current winning streak.

Padres Looking to Continue Strong Home Play

San Diego enters this matchup with a 27-18 overall record and a 13-10 home mark. The Padres recently won over Seattle 7-4 and 2-0 after recently lost to Milwaukee 7-1. Before that, San Diego recently won over Milwaukee 3-1 but also recently lost to the Brewers 6-4. The Padres have won three of their last five games entering this divisional showdown.

The Padres are batting .223 with 187 runs, 329 hits, 44 home runs, a .294 on-base percentage, and a .367 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 4.04 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP, 148 walks, 395 strikeouts, and a .238 opponent batting average.

San Diego’s biggest strength entering this game is starting pitching, especially with King taking the mound carrying a 2.63 ERA. The concern is offensive consistency, as the Padres trail Los Angeles significantly in batting average, runs scored, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pick

  • Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline

Los Angeles enters this matchup playing its best baseball of the season and holds statistical advantages across nearly every major category. The Dodgers have won five straight games while outscoring opponents heavily during that stretch, and their pitching staff has allowed only five total runs in those five victories. The offense has also been explosive with 62 home runs and 238 runs scored entering Monday night. San Diego has played solid baseball overall, but Los Angeles looks like the stronger and more complete team entering this series opener.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 7.5

I lean toward the under because both starting pitchers enter with strong numbers and both offenses have seen several lower-scoring games recently. Los Angeles has excellent pitching numbers overall with a 3.26 ERA and .213 opponent batting average, while San Diego’s offense has struggled at times with only a .223 team batting average. Michael King and Yoshinobu Yamamoto both carry WHIPs near 1.00, and this matchup feels more likely to develop into a tighter pitching-focused game.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 4 – San Diego Padres 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.

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