Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks and Prediction for Saturday May 2 2026
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The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri, on Saturday, May 2, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 7:15 PM ET and coverage on MLB.TV and FOX. The Dodgers enter this matchup at 20-11 overall and 8-5 on the road, while the Cardinals come in at 18-13 overall and 7-8 at home. Los Angeles is listed at -149 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line at +109, while St. Louis is +123 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line at -131. The total is set at 8.5, with the over at -120 and the under at +100. Encourage readers to check out free MLB picks for more MLB predictions and analysis.
Starting Pitchers Set Up Key Matchup in St. Louis
The pitching matchup features Roki Sasaki for Los Angeles and Michael McGreevy for St. Louis. Sasaki enters with a 1-2 record, a 6.35 ERA, and a 1.81 WHIP across 22.2 innings pitched. He has allowed 28 hits, recorded 22 strikeouts, issued 13 walks, and surrendered 7 home runs. McGreevy comes in at 1-2 with a 2.97 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP over 33.1 innings pitched. He has allowed 25 hits, struck out 21 batters, walked 5, and given up 5 home runs. McGreevy holds the advantage in ERA and WHIP entering this matchup.
Los Angeles Looks to Regain Momentum on the Road
The Dodgers enter this game with a 20-11 overall record and an 8-5 mark away from home. Los Angeles recently lost to Miami 3-2 and 2-1 but also recently won over Miami 5-4. Prior to that, they recently won over Chicago 6-0 and 12-4. That gives the Dodgers three wins in their last five games, though they enter this matchup having dropped their most recent two contests.
Los Angeles is batting .273 with 167 runs, 286 hits, 45 home runs, a .350 on-base percentage, and a .452 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Dodgers have a 3.19 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, 97 walks, 277 strikeouts, and a .210 opponent batting average. Los Angeles is also listed at 6-4 in day games.
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A key strength for Los Angeles is its offense. The Dodgers lead this matchup in runs, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Combined with a strong overall pitching profile, that offensive production gives them multiple paths to success in this game.
St. Louis Riding a Strong Winning Stretch
The Cardinals come into this matchup with an 18-13 overall record and a 7-8 mark at home. St. Louis has recently won over Pittsburgh 10-5, 5-4, 11-7, and 4-2. Before that, they recently lost to Seattle 3-2. That gives the Cardinals four wins in their last five games and strong recent momentum entering this contest.
St. Louis is batting .240 with 155 runs, 250 hits, 41 home runs, a .327 on-base percentage, and a .402 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has a 4.76 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, 118 walks, 217 strikeouts, and a .261 opponent batting average. The Cardinals are also listed at 7-7 in day games.
A key weakness for St. Louis is its pitching. The Cardinals have a 4.76 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP, both notably higher than Los Angeles’ numbers. While their offense has been productive, their pitching has allowed opponents to remain competitive.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks and Prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline
Los Angeles is the pick on the moneyline because of its overall balance and statistical advantages. The Dodgers have the stronger offense, leading in runs, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. They also hold the better pitching numbers with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP compared to St. Louis’ 4.76 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. While the starting pitching matchup favors St. Louis, the overall team profile leans toward Los Angeles. With the Dodgers listed at -149, they are the side to back.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals Total Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5
I am taking the over 8.5 because both teams have shown the ability to produce runs. Los Angeles is averaging strong offensive output with 167 runs and 45 home runs, while St. Louis has 155 runs and 41 home runs. The starting pitcher for Los Angeles enters with a 6.35 ERA, which suggests scoring opportunities for St. Louis. Even though St. Louis has a pitcher with a sub-3.00 ERA, the overall offensive profiles of both teams point toward a game that could push beyond this total.
Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 6 – St. Louis Cardinals 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.
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