Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction for Thursday May 14 2026
The Miami Marlins travel to face the Minnesota Twins on Thursday, May 14, 2026, at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 PM ET with coverage available on MLB.TV. The forecast for the game calls for temperatures around 72 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Both teams enter the matchup with identical 19-23 records, and each club will look to continue building momentum after recent competitive stretches. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers Featured in Minneapolis
Robby Snelling is expected to start for Miami and enters with a 0-1 record, 5.40 ERA, and 1.80 WHIP across 5.0 innings. Snelling has allowed five hits while striking out two batters, walking four, and giving up one home run. Minnesota is projected to counter with Connor Prielipp, who carries a 1-1 record with a 3.32 ERA and a strong 1.00 WHIP over 19.0 innings. Prielipp has allowed 12 hits while recording 21 strikeouts, seven walks, and three home runs.
Marlins Trying to Regain Offensive Rhythm
Miami enters this matchup with a 19-23 overall record and a 5-11 road mark. The Marlins recently lost to Minnesota 3-0 after previously recently winning over Washington 5-2 and 8-7. Before that, Miami recently lost to Washington 3-2 but recently won over Baltimore 4-3. Miami has managed three wins across its last five games, although the club has continued to struggle away from home this season.
The Marlins are batting .244 as a team with 176 runs, 337 hits, and 32 home runs. Miami owns a .322 on-base percentage and a .372 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Marlins have posted a 4.04 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .223 batting average. The pitching staff has also recorded 349 strikeouts with 157 walks this season.
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One of Miami’s strengths entering this matchup is the ability to limit opposing hitters. The Marlins hold opponents to a .223 batting average, which is one of the better marks between these two clubs. However, the road struggles remain a concern, especially after the offense was shut out in the previous game against Minnesota.
Twins Looking to Stay Consistent at Home
Minnesota comes into this game with a 19-23 overall record and an 11-10 mark at home. The Twins recently won over Miami 3-0 after previously recently winning over Cleveland 5-4 and 2-1 in 11 innings. Before that, Minnesota recently lost to Cleveland 6-4 and recently lost to Washington 7-5. The Twins have now won three of their last four games and appear to be finding more consistency offensively and on the mound.
The Twins are batting .235 as a team with 197 runs, 330 hits, and 46 home runs. Minnesota has produced a .324 on-base percentage and a .381 slugging percentage. The pitching staff owns a 4.51 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .248 against them. Minnesota pitchers have also collected 317 strikeouts and issued 154 walks this season.
The biggest strength for Minnesota has been power production. The Twins have already hit 46 home runs compared to Miami’s 32, and they also hold the edge in total runs scored. Minnesota’s recent pitching performances have also improved, allowing just five combined runs across the last three victories entering this matchup.
Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction
Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Pick
- Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline
Minnesota looks like the stronger side entering this matchup after recently winning over Miami 3-0 earlier in the series. The Twins have won three of their last four games and hold the edge in runs scored and home-run production. Minnesota also gets the advantage on the mound based on the current starting pitching numbers, as Connor Prielipp enters with a lower ERA and WHIP than Robby Snelling. With Miami continuing to struggle on the road, Minnesota appears to have the stronger setup in this matchup.
Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
I would lean toward the under in this matchup after the previous meeting between these teams finished 3-0. Miami has been inconsistent offensively on the road, while Minnesota’s recent pitching performances have helped the Twins win several lower-scoring games. Connor Prielipp also enters with a strong 3.32 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, and Miami’s ability to limit opposing batting average could help keep scoring under control as well.
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Twins 4 – Miami Marlins 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.
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