Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction for Wednesday May 13 2026
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The Miami Marlins head to Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota on Wednesday, May 13, 2026, to face the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 PM ET with coverage available on MLB.TV. Miami enters the matchup with a 19-22 overall record and a 5-10 road mark, while Minnesota comes in at 18-23 overall and 10-10 at home. The Marlins are listed at -126 on the moneyline while the Twins are priced at +104. The total for the game is set at 9 runs with the over at +109 and the under at -131. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before placing any wagers.
Starting Pitchers Featured at Target Field
Max Meyer gets the start for Miami carrying a 2-0 record with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP across 42.0 innings. Meyer has allowed 31 hits while recording 45 strikeouts, 15 walks, and only two home runs allowed. Minnesota counters with Simeon Woods Richardson, who enters with an 0-5 record, a 6.92 ERA, and a 1.72 WHIP over 39.0 innings. He has allowed 51 hits while striking out 19 batters, walking 16, and surrendering eight home runs. Based on the provided numbers, Miami has a significant edge in the starting pitching matchup.
Miami Attempts to Continue Recent Offensive Success
The Marlins enter this matchup with a 19-22 overall record and a difficult 5-10 road record. Miami has won three of its last five games, recently won over Washington 5-2 and 8-7 while also recently winning over Baltimore 4-3. The Marlins also recently lost to Washington 3-2 and recently lost to Baltimore 7-4. Miami has shown the ability to produce offense consistently during this stretch while finding ways to win close games.
Miami is batting .248 with 176 runs, 335 hits, and 32 home runs. The Marlins own a .327 on-base percentage and a .378 slugging percentage. On the mound, Miami has posted a 4.06 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP while holding opponents to a .224 batting average. The pitching staff has also recorded 339 strikeouts while issuing 151 walks this season.
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One major strength for Miami entering this matchup is its pitching advantage. The Marlins hold the lower ERA, lower WHIP, and lower opponent batting average compared to Minnesota. Max Meyer’s strong numbers also provide Miami with a favorable setup against a Twins lineup that has been inconsistent recently.
Minnesota Hopes to Build on Cleveland Series
Minnesota enters this contest with an 18-23 overall record and a 10-10 mark at home. The Twins have gone 2-3 over their last five games, recently won over Cleveland 5-4 and 2-1 in 11 innings after recently losing to Cleveland 6-4. Minnesota also recently lost to Washington 7-5 and 15-2. While the Twins have picked up a pair of recent wins, the team has struggled defensively and on the mound during parts of this recent stretch.
The Twins are batting .237 with 194 runs, 326 hits, and 45 home runs. Minnesota owns a .325 on-base percentage and a .383 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Twins carry a 4.63 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average. Minnesota has also recorded 310 strikeouts while issuing 154 walks.
Minnesota’s biggest strength entering this game is power production. The Twins have hit 45 home runs and scored 194 runs this season, both stronger totals than Miami. However, the pitching numbers remain a concern, particularly with the higher ERA and WHIP combined with the difficult numbers posted by the starting pitcher entering this matchup.
Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction
Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Pick
- Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline
I like Miami in this matchup because the Marlins have a clear advantage on the mound both in the starting pitching matchup and in the overall team pitching numbers. Max Meyer enters with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP while Minnesota’s starter carries a 6.92 ERA and a 1.72 WHIP. Miami also owns the lower opponent batting average and lower team WHIP overall. Even though the Marlins have struggled on the road, the pitching edge here is difficult to ignore.
Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Total Pick
- Pick: Over 9
I would lean toward the over because Minnesota games have produced several high-scoring outcomes recently, including 15-2, 7-5, and 6-4 results over the last week. The Twins have also allowed a .252 opponent batting average and carry a 4.63 team ERA. Miami has been producing runs consistently during recent wins and should have opportunities against the current pitching numbers Minnesota brings into this matchup. With the total sitting at 9, I would look toward the over.
Final Score Prediction: Miami Marlins 6 – Minnesota Twins 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.
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