Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 31 2026
The Miami Marlins and New York Mets continue their series on Sunday, May 31, 2026, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. Miami enters the matchup looking to bounce back after an extra-inning loss, while New York seeks another victory after winning the opener of this series. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers
Miami is expected to start Janson Junk on Sunday afternoon. Junk enters the contest with a 3-5 record, a 4.80 ERA, and a 1.30 WHIP over 60.0 innings. He has allowed 65 hits while striking out 43 batters and walking 13. Across those innings, he has surrendered eight home runs. New York is expected to counter with Nolan McLean, who owns a 2-4 record with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 61.1 innings. McLean has allowed 48 hits, recorded 75 strikeouts, issued 19 walks, and also allowed eight home runs. 
Marlins Searching for a Road Turnaround
Miami enters this contest with a 26-32 record and an 8-17 record away from home. The Marlins have gone 2-3 over their last five games, recently winning over Toronto and New York while also recently losing to Toronto twice and the Mets in extra innings. Their latest game was a 9-7 defeat in ten innings, showing that Miami remained competitive throughout the contest.
The Marlins are batting .246 as a team with 248 runs scored, 472 hits, and 46 home runs. Miami has compiled a .320 on-base percentage and a .379 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Marlins own a 4.24 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .228 batting average. The pitching staff has also recorded 490 strikeouts.
One of Miami's biggest strengths has been its ability to put the ball in play. The Marlins hold advantages over New York in batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, and opponent batting average. Those numbers have helped keep Miami competitive despite its struggles on the road.
Mets Hoping to Build Momentum at Citi Field
New York enters Sunday's matchup with a 24-33 record and a 13-15 home record. The Mets have won two of their last five games, recently winning over Miami and Cincinnati. Their losses during that stretch came against Cincinnati twice and Miami once. The Mets are attempting to build consistency after alternating between wins and losses over the past week.
The Mets are batting .226 as a team with 223 runs scored, 431 hits, and 52 home runs. New York owns a .292 on-base percentage and a .351 slugging percentage. Defensively, the Mets have posted a 3.92 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP while holding opponents to a .237 batting average. Their pitching staff has accumulated 531 strikeouts.
A notable strength for New York has been its ability to generate strikeouts. The Mets have recorded 531 strikeouts compared to 490 for Miami. Combined with a lower team ERA, that pitching advantage has helped offset some of the offensive challenges the club has faced this season.
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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction
Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Pick
- Pick: New York Mets Moneyline
While Miami owns advantages in several offensive categories, New York enters this game after winning the opener of the series and holds the edge in the matchup predictor at 60.4%. The Mets also have a lower team ERA and more strikeouts than the Marlins. With New York playing at home and coming off a victory in this series, the Mets are the side I prefer in this matchup.
Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Total Pick
- Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 8.5
I would lean toward the over if the total is posted around 8.5 runs. Friday's meeting produced 16 combined runs, and both starting pitchers enter with ERAs above 4.00. Miami has scored 20 runs across its last three victories, while New York scored nine runs in its most recent game. The recent offensive production suggests another game with scoring opportunities for both clubs.
Final Score Prediction: New York Mets 5 – Miami Marlins 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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