Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions for Wednesday, September 24, 2025
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The Miami Marlins visit the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch is at 6:45 PM ET on MLB.TV. The Marlins are 76–80, 4th in the NL East, and riding a five-game winning streak after sweeping Texas. The Phillies are 92–64, 1st in the NL East, but dropped two of three in Arizona over the weekend. Miami is out of postseason contention, while Philadelphia has clinched the National League East title. Use our Free MLB picks to build your bankroll.
Marlins vs Phillies Team Stats Comparison
At the Plate
Marlins: .252 AVG, .316 OBP, .397 SLG, 692 runs, 151 HR
Phillies: .260 AVG, .330 OBP, .431 SLG, 756 runs, 200 HR
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On the Mound
Marlins: 4.63 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, opponents hitting .249
Phillies: 3.88 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, opponents hitting .246
Form
Miami has played better on the road than at home, holding a 40–38 away record. The offense has caught fire during the current win streak, scoring 31 runs in their last five games. Philadelphia has been dominant at Citizens Bank Park with a 51–24 home record, powered by consistent production from Kyle Schwarber and Trea Turner. The Phillies have already clinched the division but are still playing for home-field advantage throughout the postseason.
Probable Starters
Miami: Ryan Weathers (2–1, 3.21 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 33.2 IP, 29 Ks)
Philadelphia: Jesús Luzardo (14–7, 4.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 176.2 IP, 206 Ks)
Luzardo has a high strikeout count, limited walks, and a solid 1.25 WHIP for Philadelphia, while Weathers has been effective but with far fewer innings, at just 33.2 on the season. Philadelphia’s bullpen has performed slightly better than Miami’s, but nothing that will be a difference-maker, as Philly’s bullpen ERA is 4.31 and Miami’s is 4.32
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies’ power and strong results at home give them the advantage in this matchup, even with Miami riding a five-game winning streak. Expect Philadelphia’s lineup to break through against Weathers and add more runs against the Marlins’ bullpen. Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies win 5-3
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