Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday August 26 2026
The Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets series continues Tuesday night at Citi Field, with Milwaukee looking to bounce back after dropping the first two games of the series. For more angles across the league, check out these MLB predictions before first pitch. Milwaukee enters at 81-51 and remains atop the NL Central despite losing two straight, while the Mets are 60-72 following Monday's win.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Run Line Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+107)
- Total Pick: Over 8.5 (-119)
- Projected Final Score: Brewers 6, Mets 3
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds: Brewers vs Mets
| Date | Milwaukee | NY Mets | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25 | -163 | +135 | MIL 92%, 72% |
Line Movement - Moneyline
| Date | Milwaukee | NY Mets | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25 | -163 | +135 | MIL 92%, 72% |
| 08/25 | -163 | +135 | MIL 92%, 72% |
| 08/25 | -163 | +135 | MIL 92%, 85% |
| 08/25 | -163 | +135 | MIL 88%, 88% |
| 08/25 | -163 | +135 | â |
| 08/25 | -163 | +135 | â |
| 08/25 | -167 | +138 | â |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25 | 8o-119 | 8u-101 | O50%, U67% |
| 08/25 | 8o-119 | 8u-102 | O50%, U67% |
| 08/25 | 8o-118 | 8u-102 | U89%, U89% |
| 08/25 | 8o-119 | 8u-101 | U87%, U91% |
| 08/25 | 8o-118 | 8u-102 | U88%, U92% |
| 08/25 | 8o-117 | 8u-103 | U88%, U92% |
| 08/25 | 8o-118 | 8u-102 | U92%, U92% |
| 08/25 | 8o-117 | 8u-103 | U88%, U89% |
| 08/25 | 8o-118 | 8u-103 | U91%, U87% |
| 08/25 | 8Âœo-102 | 8Âœu-118 | U91%, U94% |
| 08/25 | 8Âœo+100 | 8Âœu-120 | â |
Key Matchups and Game Preview: Brewers vs Mets
The Brewers will send right-hander Dustin May to the mound with a 6-8 record, 4.57 ERA and 1.30 WHIP across 124 innings. May has allowed 119 hits while striking out 118 against 42 walks and has surrendered only nine home runs, giving him a chance to limit a Mets lineup missing one of its biggest offensive weapons. New York counters with veteran right-hander Robert Stock, who has worked only 16.2 innings this season and enters 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. Stock has allowed 17 hits, issued 11 walks and struck out 19, and his lack of length could force the Mets into an extended bullpen game against one of the National League's strongest teams.
Milwaukee owns the better overall offensive profile, batting .254 with a .337 OBP while scoring 652 runs. Jackson Chourio leads the Brewers with a .276 average, .339 OBP and .458 slugging percentage, while Jake Bauers has supplied 23 home runs and 75 RBI while batting .272. Bauers is listed day-to-day, so his availability will be important for a lineup already looking to rebound from being held to two runs Monday. New York is batting .237 with a .307 OBP and .392 slugging percentage while scoring 549 runs. Juan Soto has produced 21 home runs while batting .283, but he is currently on the 10-day injured list, removing a major source of power and on-base production. Bo Bichette has 14 home runs and 66 RBI, while Carson Benge leads the Mets with a .282 average.
Stock's limited workload and elevated WHIP create a favorable matchup for Milwaukee's deeper offense, and Soto's absence makes it difficult to trust New York to keep pace.
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MIL vs NYM Betting Trends
Public money has been heavily on Milwaukee throughout the buildup, drawing between 88% and 92% of bets and as much as 88% of money on the Brewers. Total betting has leaned strongly toward the Under, pulling as much as 94% of bets and 94% of money across several updates, though the Over drew half of all bets earlier in the day.
MIL vs NYM Injuries and Things To Know
New York is also without Mark Vientos, while Milwaukee's bullpen is missing Joel Kuhnel, JoJo Romero, Abner Uribe and Rob Zastryzny, creating some late-inning uncertainty.
Milwaukee vs New York Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Run Line -1.5 (+107)
- Total Pick: Over 8.5 (-119)
The market has Milwaukee around -154 on the moneyline and +107 laying 1.5 runs, with New York at +143, while the total sits at 8.5. Stock's limited workload and elevated WHIP create a favorable matchup for Milwaukee's deeper offense, supporting the Over alongside the Brewers on the run line.
Brewers vs Mets Final Score Prediction
With May offering more stability on the mound and Milwaukee's offense facing a Mets bullpen game without Soto in the lineup, the Brewers project to pull away for a comfortable win.
- Projected Final Score: Brewers 6, Mets 3
How to Wager on Milwaukee vs New York
Bettors looking to wager on this Brewers vs Mets matchup can shop lines across multiple sportsbooks to find the best number on Milwaukee's run line or the Over 8.5 total. For additional tools and resources to help sharpen your betting approach, check out these AI picks, or dig into specific platform breakdowns like this Dimers review and this Oddible review for more ways to build out your betting strategy on this matchup and beyond.
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