Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 3 2026
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The Milwaukee Brewers will visit the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in Washington, District of Columbia, on Sunday, May 3, 2026, at 1:35 PM. The game will be shown on MLB.TV, with Milwaukee entering at 17-14 overall and 7-6 away, while Washington comes in at 15-18 overall and 3-11 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Make sure to check out free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers
Milwaukee is expected to send Chad Patrick to the mound, while Washington is projected to counter with Zack Littell. Patrick enters with a 2-1 record, a 2.57 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, 28.0 innings pitched, 22 hits allowed, 16 strikeouts, 13 walks, and two home runs allowed. Littell comes in at 0-4 with a 7.85 ERA, a 1.74 WHIP, 28.2 innings pitched, 39 hits allowed, 16 strikeouts, 11 walks, and 13 home runs allowed. Based strictly on those numbers, Milwaukee has the stronger starting pitching profile entering this matchup. 
Milwaukee Looks to Keep Its Road Momentum Moving
The Brewers come into this game with a 17-14 overall record and a 7-6 mark away from home. Milwaukee has won four of its last five games, recently beating Washington, Arizona twice, and Pittsburgh, with its only recent loss coming against Arizona. The latest result against Washington was a 6-1 road win, which gives Milwaukee a strong recent result in this same matchup.
Milwaukee is batting .243 as a team with 166 runs, 253 hits, 22 home runs, a .339 on-base percentage, and a .364 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Brewers have a 3.65 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, 116 walks, 294 strikeouts, and a .230 opponent batting average. During day games, Milwaukee is 9-4.
The biggest strength for Milwaukee is its pitching profile. The Brewers have the better team ERA, WHIP, strikeout total, and opponent batting average compared to Washington. That gives Milwaukee a clear edge in run prevention, and that matters even more with the Brewers also entering this matchup in strong recent form.
Washington Searches for Answers at Nationals Park
The Nationals enter this contest with a 15-18 overall record and a 3-11 record at home. Washington has gone 3-2 over its last five games, recently losing to Milwaukee, winning twice over New York, losing once to New York, and winning over Chicago in extra innings. The home record stands out as a concern, especially with Washington trying to respond after a 6-1 loss in this same series.
Washington is batting .239 with 176 runs, 272 hits, 37 home runs, a .322 on-base percentage, and a .386 slugging percentage. The pitching staff owns a 5.01 ERA, a 1.47 WHIP, 132 walks, 256 strikeouts, and a .263 opponent batting average. In day games, Washington is 8-8.
Washington’s key strength is power, as the Nationals have hit 37 home runs compared to Milwaukee’s 22. However, the biggest weakness is pitching. Washington’s 5.01 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, and .263 opponent batting average are all weaker than Milwaukee’s numbers, and that creates pressure on the offense to keep pace.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bryan Power | +4,192.00 |
| 2 |  Bruce Marshall | +4,189.00 |
| 3 |  Joe Duffy | +2,213.00 |
| 4 |  Sniper Wes | +1,832.00 |
| 5 |  Tom Macrina | +1,044.00 |
Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Pick
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
Milwaukee is the pick because the Brewers bring the better pitching profile and the stronger recent form into this matchup. Milwaukee has won four of its last five games, including a 6-1 win over Washington, while the Nationals are just 3-11 at home. The Brewers also have the advantage in team ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, and opponent batting average. With Milwaukee’s projected starter carrying a much lower ERA and WHIP than Washington’s projected starter, the data points toward the Brewers being the better side.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Total Pick
Pick: Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.
I would lean under if the total is set at 8.5 because Milwaukee’s pitching numbers are strong enough to shape the game. The Brewers have a 3.65 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average, and their projected starter enters with a 2.57 ERA. Washington does have more home runs and more total runs than Milwaukee, but the Nationals also just scored one run in the recent matchup between these teams. With Milwaukee’s run prevention standing out, I would look toward the under at 8.5.
Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 5 – Washington Nationals 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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