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Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction for Tuesday May 5 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/05/2026, 12:30 AM ET

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The Minnesota Twins will take on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in Washington, District of Columbia, on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 6:45 PM ET. The game will be available on MLB.TV, and game-time weather is expected to be warm at 85 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out free MLB picks for more insights on today’s action.

Starting Pitchers

Taj Bradley will take the mound for Minnesota, entering with a 3-1 record, a 2.85 ERA, and a 1.22 WHIP across 41.0 innings pitched. He has allowed 35 hits while striking out 44 batters and issuing 15 walks, along with giving up five home runs. Opposing him will be Cade Cavalli for Washington, who carries a 1-1 record with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP over 30.2 innings. He has allowed 37 hits while striking out 38 batters and issuing 14 walks, while surrendering one home run.

Minnesota Seeks Stability on the Road

The Minnesota Twins come into this matchup with a 15-20 overall record and a 5-10 mark on the road. In their last five games, they recently won over Toronto in a 4-3 result but also recently lost to Toronto in back-to-back games by scores of 11-4 and 7-3. Prior to that, they recently won over Toronto in a 7-1 game while also recently lost to Seattle in a 5-3 result. This stretch shows a team that has struggled to maintain consistency, alternating between wins and losses.

From a statistical standpoint, Minnesota is batting .235 with 165 runs on 274 hits and 40 home runs. They have posted a .326 on-base percentage and a .381 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, they hold a 4.46 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP, allowing a .253 opponent batting average. Their staff has issued 124 walks while recording 266 strikeouts, indicating a mix of strikeout ability and control challenges.

One key issue for Minnesota is their inability to consistently limit opposing offenses, as reflected in their ERA and WHIP. While their offense has shown some power with 40 home runs, the inconsistency in run prevention has made it difficult for them to build sustained success.

Washington Aims to Capitalize at Home

The Washington Nationals enter this contest with a 16-19 overall record and a 4-12 mark at home. In their last five games, they recently won over Milwaukee in a 3-2 result but also recently lost to Milwaukee in back-to-back games by scores of 4-1 and 6-1. Prior to that, they recently won over New York in consecutive games by scores of 5-4 and 14-2, showing flashes of offensive capability. Their recent play reflects a team that can produce runs but has struggled with consistency.

Offensively, Washington is batting .239 with 180 runs on 288 hits and 37 home runs. They have recorded a .319 on-base percentage and a .383 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff carries a 4.81 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP, allowing a .258 opponent batting average. They have issued 140 walks while recording 268 strikeouts, showing both the ability to generate strikeouts and allow baserunners.

A notable weakness for Washington is their pitching performance, particularly their ERA and WHIP, which indicate difficulty in limiting opposing offenses. While they have shown the ability to score runs, their pitching struggles can put them in challenging positions during games.

Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction

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Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals Pick

  • Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline

Minnesota enters this matchup with the advantage in starting pitching, as reflected in the lower ERA and WHIP. While both teams have shown inconsistency, the Twins’ ability to generate more consistent pitching performances gives them an edge. Combined with comparable offensive production, Minnesota appears to have the stronger overall profile in this matchup.

Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 8.5

I am leaning toward the over in this matchup due to both teams carrying ERA numbers above 4.00 and showing the ability to score runs. Minnesota’s home run total and Washington’s run production suggest that offense could play a significant role. With both pitching staffs allowing baserunners, this game has the potential to exceed the total.

Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Twins 6 – Washington Nationals 4

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.

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