New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction for Saturday May 9 2026
The New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks are set to meet on Saturday, May 9, 2026, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM, and the game will air on MLB.TV and FOX. New York enters this matchup trying to continue a competitive road stretch, while Arizona looks to bounce back after dropping four of its last five games. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Gametime weather in Phoenix is expected to be 105 degrees. Fans looking for more baseball betting insight should also check out free MLB picks for additional MLB predictions and coverage.
Starting Pitchers
Clay Holmes is expected to start for New York in this matchup. The right-hander enters with a 4-2 record, a 1.69 ERA, and a 0.98 WHIP across 42.2 innings. He has allowed 28 hits while recording 31 strikeouts, 14 walks, and three home runs surrendered. Arizona is expected to counter with Merrill Kelly, who enters with a 1-3 record, a 9.95 ERA, and a 2.32 WHIP over 19 innings. He has allowed 29 hits while striking out 14 batters with 15 walks and six home runs allowed.
Mets Looking to Stay Competitive on the Road
The Mets enter this matchup with a 14-23 overall record and an 8-11 mark away from home. New York recently lost to Colorado 6-2 after previously winning over the Rockies by scores of 10-5 and 4-2. Before that series, the Mets recently won over the Angels 5-1 but also lost 4-3 in extra innings. New York has shown signs of improvement recently after winning three of its last five games.
The Mets have posted a .229 batting average with 134 runs, 283 hits, and 30 home runs this season. New York also owns a .293 on-base percentage and a .351 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Mets carry a 4.01 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .235 batting average. The pitching staff has also recorded 351 strikeouts this season.
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One of the biggest strengths for New York entering this game is pitching consistency compared to Arizona. The Mets hold advantages in ERA, WHIP, opponent batting average, and strikeouts. Clay Holmes has also been excellent individually with a 1.69 ERA and a WHIP below 1.00 entering this road matchup.
Arizona Trying to Recover After Tough Stretch
Arizona enters Saturday with a 17-19 overall record and a 10-8 mark at home. The Diamondbacks recently lost to Pittsburgh by scores of 4-2 and 1-0 after previously defeating the Pirates 9-0. Before that series, Arizona also recently lost to the Cubs by scores of 8-4 and 2-0. The Diamondbacks have struggled to generate offense consistently during this recent stretch, scoring two runs or fewer in three of their last four losses.
Arizona has produced a .242 batting average with 161 runs, 288 hits, and 35 home runs this season. The Diamondbacks also own a .302 on-base percentage and a .402 slugging percentage. On the mound, Arizona carries a 4.78 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP while opponents are batting .252 against them. The pitching staff has recorded 266 strikeouts this year.
The biggest strength for Arizona has been overall offensive production compared to New York. The Diamondbacks have scored more runs while also holding advantages in batting average, slugging percentage, and home runs. However, Arizona’s pitching staff has struggled heavily overall, and Merrill Kelly’s numbers entering this matchup have been particularly difficult.
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
- Pick: New York Mets Moneyline
New York gets the edge in this matchup because of the clear pitching advantage entering the game. Clay Holmes has been outstanding this season with a 1.69 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP, while Merrill Kelly enters with a 9.95 ERA and a 2.32 WHIP. Arizona’s offense has been stronger overall statistically, but the Diamondbacks have struggled recently during this losing stretch. The Mets also hold a significant advantage in strikeouts and overall pitching consistency.
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Total Pick
- Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 8.5
I would lean toward the over because Arizona’s pitching numbers have struggled throughout the season, and Merrill Kelly has allowed six home runs in only 19 innings. The Diamondbacks offense has also produced 161 runs and 35 home runs this season, while New York has recently been involved in games finishing 10-5 and 6-2. Arizona’s pitching issues create opportunities for scoring on both sides.
Final Score Prediction: New York Mets 6 – Arizona Diamondbacks 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.
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