New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Picks and Predictions for Sunday, April 19, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 04/19/2026, 01:05 AM ET
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The New York Mets travel to Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois to face the Chicago Cubs on Sunday, April 19, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 2:20 PM and coverage on MLB.TV. The Mets enter this matchup with a 7-14 overall record, while the Cubs come in at 11-9. Betting odds show New York at +102 on the moneyline and Chicago at -122, with the total set at 8.5 runs. The run line lists the Mets at -1.5 (+159) and the Cubs at +1.5 (-193). This matchup features two teams trending in opposite directions, and readers are encouraged to check out free MLB picks for more insights.

Starting Pitchers Breakdown

The pitching matchup features David Peterson for New York against Javier Assad for Chicago. Peterson enters with a 0-3 record, a 6.41 ERA, and a 1.83 WHIP across 19.2 innings. He has allowed 26 hits, struck out 21, walked 10, and given up 1 home run. On the other side, Assad has a 1-1 record with an 8.10 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP over 10.0 innings. He has allowed 12 hits, recorded 6 strikeouts, issued 4 walks, and surrendered 2 home runs. Both starters have had difficulty preventing runs early in the season, which could influence the overall flow of this game.

Mets Searching for Answers During Tough Stretch

New York comes into this contest with a 7-14 overall record and a 4-8 mark on the road. The Mets have struggled in recent games, recently losing to Chicago in back-to-back contests and also dropping games to Los Angeles. Their last five games have all resulted in losses, including a 4-2 defeat and a 12-4 setback against the Cubs, which highlights their current form.

From a statistical standpoint, New York has hit .229 with 69 runs and 156 hits. They have recorded 14 home runs while posting a .293 on-base percentage and a .339 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Mets have a 4.21 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP, and opponents are hitting .242 against them. These numbers reflect a team that has had difficulty finding consistency on both sides of the game.

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One key weakness for New York has been their inability to generate sustained offense. With just 69 runs scored and a modest slugging percentage, the lineup has struggled to keep pace with opponents. When combined with recent results, this lack of production has contributed to their losing streak.

Cubs Building Momentum at Home

Chicago enters this matchup with an 11-9 overall record and a 6-5 mark at home. The Cubs have been playing strong baseball recently, recently winning over New York in consecutive games and also picking up victories against Philadelphia. They have won four of their last five games, including a 12-4 win over the Mets, showing their ability to produce offensively.

Offensively, Chicago has been productive, hitting .255 with 106 runs and 167 hits. They have recorded 22 home runs while maintaining a .346 on-base percentage and a .402 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Cubs have posted a 3.89 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP, while limiting opponents to a .231 batting average.

One key strength for Chicago has been their offensive production. With 106 runs and a .255 batting average, they have consistently generated scoring opportunities. Combined with solid pitching numbers, this balance has allowed them to perform well, particularly at home.

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Picks and Prediction

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Pick

Pick: Cubs Moneyline (-122)

Chicago has the edge in this matchup based on both recent performance and overall team statistics. The Cubs have won four of their last five games, including two victories over New York, and they have been more productive offensively with 106 runs scored. The Mets, on the other hand, have lost five straight and have struggled to generate offense. With stronger recent form and better overall balance, Chicago is the preferred side.

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Total Pick

Pick: Over 8.5

I’m leaning toward the over in this matchup because both starting pitchers have high ERAs and have allowed runs consistently. Chicago’s offense has been productive, and New York has shown the ability to contribute hits even during losses. With both pitchers having difficulty limiting scoring, this total has a strong chance to go over 8.5 runs.

Final Score Prediction: Cubs 6 – Mets 4

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