New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Prediction for Monday May 4 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/04/2026, 12:20 AM ET
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The New York Mets and Colorado Rockies meet at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado, on Monday, May 4, 2026, at 8:40 PM ET, with coverage on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. This matchup features two teams looking to find consistency, and readers can also check out free MLB picks.

Mets vs Rockies Starting Pitchers

New York could be leading towards a bullpen day in the pitching as they have not announced their starter yet.. Colorado is expected to start Tomoyuki Sugano, who comes in with a 3-1 record, a 2.84 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, 31.2 innings pitched, 28 hits allowed, 21 strikeouts, nine walks, and five home runs allowed.

New York Searching for Answers on the Road

The Mets enter this game with an 11-22 overall record and a 5-10 mark away from home. New York has had an uneven recent stretch, recently losing to the Angels 4-3 in 10 innings, while also recently losing to Washington by scores of 5-4 and 14-2. The Mets did recently win over the Angels 4-3 and Washington 8-0, giving them two wins and three losses in the last five games provided.

New York is batting .227 as a team with 113 runs, 251 hits, 25 home runs, a .289 on-base percentage, and a .341 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Mets have a 4.06 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, 116 walks, 311 strikeouts, and a .235 opponent batting average. New York also has a 7-12 night record in the provided team stats.

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The Mets’ main strength in the provided numbers is strikeout ability, as they have 311 strikeouts compared to Colorado’s 263. The concern is overall production, with New York showing the lower batting average, fewer runs, and lower on-base and slugging percentages in this matchup.

Colorado Hoping to Capitalize at Coors Field

The Rockies come into Monday with a 14-20 overall record and a 7-8 home record. Colorado has struggled recently, recently losing to Atlanta by scores of 9-1 and 8-6, while also recently losing to Cincinnati 6-4 and 7-2. The Rockies did recently win over Cincinnati 13-2, but that leaves them with one win and four losses in the last five games provided.

Colorado is batting .251 with 144 runs, 288 hits, 32 home runs, a .320 on-base percentage, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Rockies’ pitching staff has a 4.42 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, 109 walks, 263 strikeouts, and a .265 opponent batting average. Colorado also has a 9-14 night record in the supplied team stats.

The Rockies’ strength lies in offensive production. Colorado has the higher batting average, more runs, more hits, more home runs, and stronger on-base and slugging numbers compared to New York. The concern is on the mound, where Colorado carries a higher ERA, higher WHIP, and higher opponent batting average.

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Prediction

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Pick

  • Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline

Colorado is the pick because the Rockies have the stronger offensive profile in the provided data. They lead in batting average, runs, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. While New York has more strikeouts on the pitching side, the Mets have the worse overall record and a losing road record. With Colorado also having a defined starting pitcher with a 2.84 ERA and 1.17 WHIP, the Rockies stand out as the better option.

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Total Pick

  • Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 9.5.

I would lean Over 9.5 if that number is available. Colorado’s recent games include scores of 9-1, 8-6, and 13-2, while New York has been involved in games like 5-4 and 14-2. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 4.42 ERA and 1.39 WHIP, and New York has a 4.06 ERA. With both teams allowing runs and Colorado showing strong offensive production, the data points toward a higher-scoring game.

Final Score Prediction: Colorado Rockies 7 – New York Mets 5

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunda.

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