New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Picks and Prediction for Sunday June 7 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/07/2026, 12:30 AM ET
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The New York Mets and San Diego Padres meet at Petco Park in San Diego, California, on Sunday, June 7, 2026, at 4:10 PM ET. The game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

The Mets are expected to start Sean Manaea, who enters this matchup with a 0-1 record, a 5.08 ERA, and a 1.46 WHIP across 39.0 innings. He has allowed 41 hits, struck out 42 batters, walked 16, and surrendered 4 home runs. The Padres are expected to counter with Randy Vasquez, who is 5-3 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 65.1 innings. He has allowed 62 hits, recorded 50 strikeouts, issued 18 walks, and given up 9 home runs.

New York Carrying Momentum Into San Diego

The Mets enter this contest with a 28-35 overall record and a 13-20 road record. New York recently defeated San Diego 5-0, beat Seattle 7-1, lost to Seattle 8-3, lost to Seattle 3-2 in 10 innings, and defeated Miami 10-1. The Mets have won three of their last five games and have outscored opponents by a wide margin in several of those victories.

New York is batting .228 with 256 runs, 481 hits, and 63 home runs. The Mets own a .292 on-base percentage and a .362 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has posted a 3.77 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .231. They have also recorded 582 strikeouts and issued 232 walks.

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The Mets' biggest strength is pitching. Their 3.77 ERA is better than San Diego's mark, and they have held opponents to a .231 batting average. The concern remains offensive consistency, as New York enters with a .228 batting average and .292 on-base percentage.

Padres Looking to Halt a Losing Streak

The Padres come into this game with a 32-30 overall record and a 16-17 home record. San Diego recently lost to New York 5-0, lost to Philadelphia 6-4, lost to Philadelphia 3-2, lost to Philadelphia 3-2, and lost to Washington 4-2. The Padres have dropped five consecutive games entering this matchup.

San Diego is batting .215 with 235 runs, 431 hits, and 63 home runs. The Padres have a .289 on-base percentage and a .356 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 3.95 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .236. The club has recorded 514 strikeouts and 212 walks.

The primary issue for San Diego has been offensive production. The Padres have scored only 235 runs and own a .215 batting average, both lower than New York's totals. While the pitching numbers remain competitive, the offense has struggled to generate enough support during the current losing streak.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Picks and Prediction

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Pick

  • Pick: New York Mets Moneyline

The Mets are the selection because they enter in better recent form, having won three of their last five games while San Diego has lost five straight. New York also won the most recent meeting 5-0 and owns the better team ERA and opponent batting average. While the Padres have the stronger overall record, the recent trends provided favor the Mets.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Total Pick

  • Pick: Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.

I lean toward the under because both offenses have been relatively modest this season. New York is batting .228, while San Diego is batting .215. The most recent meeting ended 5-0, and both teams carry ERAs below 4.00. Those factors point toward another lower-scoring contest.

Final Score Prediction: New York Mets 4 – San Diego Padres 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.

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