New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Picks and Predictions for Friday April 3 2026
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The New York Mets travel to Oracle Park in San Francisco, California, to take on the San Francisco Giants with first pitch scheduled for 10:15 PM on April 3, 2026. The game will be broadcast on MLB.TV. The Mets enter as -136 favorites on the moneyline, while the Giants are listed at +113. The total is set at 7.5, with both the over and under priced around -108 to -112, and the run line shows New York at -1.5 (+129) while San Francisco is +1.5 (-156). This late-night matchup features two teams still searching for early-season rhythm, so be sure to check out free MLB picks for more insight before placing your bets.
Starting Pitchers Breakdown
The Mets are expected to start Nolan McLean, while the Giants will counter with Tyler Mahle. McLean enters this matchup with a 0-0 record, holding a 3.60 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 5.0 innings. In that outing, he allowed four hits, struck out eight, walked two, and gave up one home run. Mahle comes in with a 0-1 record, posting a 4.50 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP across 4.0 innings. He has allowed five hits, struck out five, walked one, and did not allow a home run. Both pitchers have shown some effectiveness early, though McLean has generated more strikeouts in his outing.
Mets Looking to Regain Momentum on the Road
The New York Mets come into this contest with a 3-3 overall record and a 1-2 mark on the road. Over their last five games, the Mets have recently lost to St. Louis by scores of 2-1 in extra innings and 3-0, while also dropping a 4-3 extra-inning game to Pittsburgh. They have picked up wins over St. Louis and Pittsburgh by scores of 4-2 in both contests. This stretch shows a team that has been competitive but has struggled to close out games.
Offensively, the Mets are hitting .211 with 23 runs and 44 hits, including four home runs. Their on-base percentage sits at .313 with a .335 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, New York has been strong, posting a 2.50 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .209. They have recorded 64 strikeouts and issued 23 walks, showing a solid balance of control and effectiveness.
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A key strength for the Mets has been their pitching. With a 2.50 ERA and a low opponent batting average, they have consistently limited scoring opportunities. This has kept them in games even when the offense has struggled to produce consistently.
Giants Trying to Find Consistency at Home
The San Francisco Giants enter this matchup with a 2-4 overall record and a 0-3 mark at home. Over their last five games, the Giants have recently lost to San Diego by a 7-1 score, while also dropping games to New York by scores of 3-1 and 3-0. They did pick up wins over San Diego by scores of 9-3 and 3-2, showing some offensive capability in those contests. This stretch reflects a team that has struggled to maintain consistent results, particularly at home.
At the plate, the Giants are hitting .201 with 14 runs and 39 hits, including three home runs. Their on-base percentage is .264 with a .294 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, San Francisco has posted a 3.74 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .222. They have recorded 55 strikeouts and issued 20 walks, showing moderate effectiveness on the mound.
The primary weakness for San Francisco has been its offense. With a .201 batting average and just 14 runs scored, they have struggled to generate consistent scoring opportunities. This lack of production has made it difficult to support their pitching staff, especially in close games.
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Picks and Prediction
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Pick
Pick: New York Mets Moneyline
The Mets appear to have the edge in this matchup, particularly on the mound. With a 2.50 team ERA and a lower opponent batting average, they have been more effective at limiting scoring opportunities. While both offenses have struggled, New York holds a slight advantage in overall production and has been more consistent defensively. Combined with a stronger pitching profile, the Mets are in a favorable position to secure the win.
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Total Pick
Pick: Under 7.5
I am leaning toward the under in this matchup because both teams have struggled offensively. The Mets are hitting .211, while the Giants are even lower at .201 with limited run production. At the same time, both pitching staffs have posted respectable ERAs and have been able to limit opponents. With the total set at 7.5, this game shapes up as a lower-scoring contest driven by pitching.
Final Score Prediction: New York Mets 4 – San Francisco Giants 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.
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