New York Yankees vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Friday May 15 2026
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The New York Yankees travel across the city to face the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York on Friday, May 15, 2026, at 7:10 PM ET. The game will be televised on Apple TV. The Yankees enter this matchup as a -149 moneyline favorite, while the Mets are listed at +123. The total for the game is set at 7 runs, with New York -1.5 on the run line at +123 and the Mets +1.5 at -149. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers Could Control the Subway Series
Cam Schlittler is expected to start for the Yankees and enters this game with a 5-1 record, 1.35 ERA, and 0.81 WHIP across 53.1 innings. He has allowed only 34 hits while recording 59 strikeouts, 9 walks, and just 1 home run. The Mets are expected to counter with Clay Holmes, who carries a 4-3 record along with a 1.86 ERA and 1.01 WHIP over 48.1 innings. Holmes has allowed 33 hits while striking out 37 batters, walking 16, and surrendering 3 home runs. Both pitchers enter this matchup in strong form, although Schlittler’s strikeout numbers and WHIP stand out.
Yankees Trying to Rebound From Recent Road Loss
The Yankees enter this matchup with a 27-17 overall record and a 13-11 road record. New York recently lost to Baltimore 7-0 and 3-2 but recently won over Baltimore 6-2. Before that, the Yankees recently lost to Milwaukee 4-3 and 4-3 in 10 innings. Despite losing four of the last five games, the Yankees still hold one of the stronger records among the teams on Friday’s schedule.
New York is batting .234 with 223 runs, 336 hits, and 66 home runs this season. The Yankees own a .330 on-base percentage and a .433 slugging percentage. On the mound, New York carries a 3.22 ERA and 1.15 WHIP while holding opponents to a .219 batting average. The Yankees have also recorded 384 strikeouts and issued 133 walks.
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The biggest strength for the Yankees has been overall power and pitching efficiency. New York leads this matchup comfortably in home runs while also carrying the lower ERA, lower WHIP, and lower opponent batting average. Their ability to generate offense through power has helped offset some recent close losses.
Mets Riding Momentum Into the Rivalry Matchup
The Mets come into this game with an 18-25 overall record and a 9-12 mark at home. New York recently won over Detroit 9-4, 3-2 in 10 innings, and 10-2 after previously losing to Arizona 5-1 and 2-1. The Mets have won three straight games entering this matchup and have shown improved offensive production during this recent stretch.
The Mets are batting .225 with 152 runs, 315 hits, and 31 home runs this season. New York owns a .290 on-base percentage and a .340 slugging percentage. The pitching staff has posted a 3.75 ERA and 1.27 WHIP while holding opponents to a .231 batting average. The Mets have also totaled 397 strikeouts with 148 walks.
The Mets’ biggest strength entering this game is recent momentum on the mound. Even though the offense has struggled overall compared to the Yankees, New York has allowed only eight total runs during its current three-game winning streak. The Mets have also generated strong strikeout totals throughout the season.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction
New York Yankees vs New York Mets Pick
- Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline
The Yankees hold major statistical advantages entering this matchup, particularly offensively. New York has scored 223 runs and hit 66 home runs compared to just 152 runs and 31 home runs for the Mets. The Yankees also own the lower ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Cam Schlittler’s numbers have also been outstanding with a 1.35 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. While the Mets enter on a three-game winning streak, the Yankees still look like the stronger overall side in this matchup.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets Total Pick
- Pick: Under 7
I am leaning toward the under because both starting pitchers have been excellent this season. Cam Schlittler enters with a 1.35 ERA, while Clay Holmes has posted a 1.86 ERA. Both teams also have strong overall pitching numbers, especially the Yankees with a 3.22 team ERA and .219 opponent batting average. The Mets recently played back-to-back lower-scoring games against Arizona, and this matchup has the look of a tighter pitching-focused contest.
Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 4 – New York Mets 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.
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