New York Yankees vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Saturday May 16 2026
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The New York Yankees travel to face the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York on Saturday, May 16, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 7:15 PM ET on MLB.TV/FOX. The Yankees enter this matchup with a 27-17 overall record and a 13-11 mark on the road, while the Mets come in at 18-25 overall and 9-12 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers in Focus for Subway Series Matchup
Carlos Rodon gets the start for the Yankees carrying a 0-0 record with a 6.23 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 4.1 innings pitched, two hits allowed, four strikeouts, five walks, and zero home runs allowed. The Mets have not officially named a starting pitcher for this matchup. The Yankees enter with the only confirmed starting pitching statistics provided ahead of this game.
Yankees Looking to Regain Momentum
The Yankees enter this matchup with a strong 27-17 overall record and a winning 13-11 mark on the road. New York has gone 1-4 over its last five games, recently defeating Baltimore once while recently losing to Baltimore twice and Milwaukee twice. The Yankees have struggled offensively during this stretch, scoring three runs or fewer in four of those five contests.
New York is batting .234 with 223 runs, 336 hits, 66 home runs, a .330 on-base percentage, and a .433 slugging percentage. The Yankees pitching staff has been excellent overall with a 3.22 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 384 strikeouts, and a .219 opponent batting average. New York has also been very effective in night games with an 18-9 record.
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The biggest strength for the Yankees entering this matchup is power production combined with strong pitching. New York has already hit 66 home runs this season while also holding opponents to a .219 batting average. Even during the recent losing stretch, the overall season profile remains one of the strongest in this matchup.
Mets Hoping Winning Streak Continues
The Mets enter this contest at 18-25 overall and 9-12 at home. New York has won three straight games, recently sweeping Detroit with victories of 9-4, 3-2, and 10-2 after previously losing twice to Arizona. The Mets offense has looked much sharper recently, scoring at least nine runs in two of their last three games.
The Mets are batting .226 with 161 runs, 325 hits, 36 home runs, a .292 on-base percentage, and a .349 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Mets have posted a 3.75 ERA and 1.26 WHIP while holding opponents to a .231 batting average. New York has also generated 406 strikeouts this season and owns an 11-12 record in night games.
One encouraging sign for the Mets has been their recent offensive improvement. After struggling for much of the season offensively, New York has produced 22 total runs during its current three-game winning streak. The challenge in this matchup is facing a Yankees team that still owns stronger overall season numbers on both sides of the ball.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction
New York Yankees vs New York Mets Pick
- Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline
The Yankees enter this matchup with the stronger overall team profile despite recent struggles. New York owns advantages in runs scored, home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. The Yankees pitching staff has also been one of the better units in this matchup throughout the season. The Mets have momentum from a three-game winning streak, but New York still looks like the more complete team overall.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets Total Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5
Take the over if the total is set at 8.5. The Mets have scored 22 runs during their current three-game winning streak, while the Yankees have hit 66 home runs this season and remain capable of producing offense quickly. Carlos Rodon also enters with a 6.23 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP in his limited innings, which could create scoring opportunities early in the game. With both teams showing recent offensive flashes, this matchup sets up well for runs.
Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 6 – New York Mets 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.
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