New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Prediction for Tuesday March 31 2026
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The New York Yankees travel to take on the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington, with first pitch scheduled for 9:40 PM on March 31, 2026. The game will be broadcast on MLB.TV and TBS. The Yankees enter as slight favorites with a moneyline of -115, while the Mariners are close behind at -105. The total is set at 7 runs, and the run line shows New York at -1.5 (+153) and Seattle at +1.5 (-186). As you get ready for this matchup, be sure to check out free MLB picks.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The starting pitching matchup features Max Fried for the Yankees and Logan Gilbert for the Mariners. Max Fried has already made an early-season appearance, posting a 1-0 record with a 0.00 ERA, a 0.47 WHIP, and allowing just two hits across 6.1 innings while striking out four and issuing one walk. On the other side, Logan Gilbert has also taken the mound this season, recording a 0-0 record with a 5.06 ERA, a 0.94 WHIP, allowing five hits over 5.1 innings while striking out seven and not issuing any walks.
Yankees Carrying Strong Momentum on the Road
The New York Yankees come into this game with a 3-0 overall record and a perfect 3-0 record on the road. Over their last five games, they have been in excellent form, recently winning over San Francisco multiple times and Chicago, while dropping only one earlier game to Chicago. That stretch highlights a team that has been able to consistently control games and secure wins.
From a statistical standpoint, the Yankees are hitting .243 as a team with 13 runs on 25 hits, including 3 home runs. They have posted a .304 on-base percentage and a .388 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, they have been dominant with a 0.33 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit just .143. They have recorded 27 strikeouts and issued only 7 walks, showing excellent control and effectiveness.
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A major strength for New York is their pitching dominance. A 0.33 ERA combined with a .143 opponent batting average stands out as one of the most impressive profiles, allowing them to control games even without overwhelming offensive production. Their ability to limit baserunners and prevent runs has been the key to their undefeated start.
Seattle Looking to Hold Serve at Home
The Seattle Mariners enter this matchup with a 2-2 overall record and a 2-2 record at home. Over their last five games, they have had mixed results, recently winning over Cleveland and splitting another game while also dropping contests to Cleveland and San Diego. That stretch reflects a team that has been competitive but inconsistent.
Seattle is hitting .208 as a team with 22 runs on 27 hits, including 8 home runs. They have posted a .331 on-base percentage and a strong .462 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Mariners have a 2.92 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .195. They have recorded 47 strikeouts and issued 9 walks, showing strong strikeout ability and solid control.
One of Seattle’s key strengths is their power production. With 8 home runs and a .462 slugging percentage, they have shown the ability to generate runs quickly. Combined with a solid pitching profile that includes a 2.92 ERA and a low WHIP, this gives them a balanced approach that can compete with any opponent.
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Prediction
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Pick
Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline
New York holds a slight edge in this matchup due to their elite pitching performance so far. A 0.33 ERA and .143 opponent batting average give them a clear advantage in run prevention compared to Seattle’s already solid numbers. While Seattle has shown more power offensively, the Yankees’ ability to limit scoring opportunities has been a decisive factor. With a strong road record and consistent pitching, New York is in a good position to secure another win.
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Total Pick
Pick: Under 7
I’m leaning toward the under in this matchup because both teams have shown strong pitching profiles. The Yankees have been dominant with a 0.33 ERA, while Seattle has also been effective with a 2.92 ERA and a low WHIP. Although Seattle has displayed power, New York’s pitching has consistently limited opponents. With both teams capable on the mound, this game has the potential to stay under the total.
Final Score Prediction
New York Yankees 4 – Seattle Mariners 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.
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