New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 7, 2026
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The New York Yankees visit the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET at Tropicana Field, with coverage on MLB.TV and TBS. New York is 49-40 and sits second in the AL East, four games behind the division-leading Rays, who are 52-35. Tampa Bay owns a 4-1 lead in the season series and has been outstanding at home with a 31-12 record, while the Yankees have dropped four of their last five games. Check out today's free MLB picks.
New York Yankees Preview
New York ranks 24th in MLB with a .235 team batting average but continues to generate power, hitting 128 home runs while scoring 427 runs. Ben Rice has emerged as the Yankees' top offensive threat, batting .267 with 24 home runs and 56 RBI. Cody Bellinger is hitting .251 with 11 home runs and 50 RBI, while Aaron Judge has added 17 home runs but is sidelined with an injury. Paul Goldschmidt has chipped in 14 home runs, giving New York plenty of power throughout the lineup.
The Yankees have remained near the top of the American League because of elite pitching. New York ranks second in MLB with a 3.39 ERA and owns a 1.19 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .227 batting average. The staff has recorded 34 quality starts, eight shutouts, and 769 strikeouts across 781.2 innings, providing consistency even during recent offensive struggles.
Injuries: Aaron Judge (10-Day IL), Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Day-to-Day), Giancarlo Stanton (10-Day IL), Carlos Rodón (15-Day IL), Max Fried (15-Day IL), Clarke Schmidt (60-Day IL).
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Tampa Bay Rays Preview
Tampa Bay has been one of baseball's most consistent offensive clubs, ranking third in MLB with a .260 batting average while collecting 747 hits and scoring 396 runs. Junior Caminero leads the club with 26 home runs and 56 RBI while batting .288. Yandy Díaz continues to set the table with a .321 average, 101 hits, and a .404 on-base percentage, while Jonathan Aranda has contributed 58 RBI with a .287 average. The Rays also continue to pressure defenses with 82 stolen bases.
The Rays have matched that production with dependable pitching. Tampa Bay ranks eighth in MLB with a 3.76 ERA and carries an outstanding 1.18 WHIP, one of the league's best marks. Rays pitchers have held opponents to a .233 batting average, recorded 28 quality starts, and converted 35 saves, helping the club build one of baseball's strongest home records.
Injuries: Steven Matz (15-Day IL), Jake Fraley (10-Day IL), Gavin Lux (60-Day IL), Jesse Scholtens (15-Day IL), Manuel Rodriguez (60-Day IL).
Pitching Matchup
New York Yankees – Will Warren (RHP)
Warren is 7-3 with a 3.73 ERA and 1.33 WHIP over 89.1 innings. He has struck out 91 batters while allowing only 10 home runs and has provided New York with reliable starts throughout the season.
Tampa Bay Rays – Shane McClanahan (LHP)
McClanahan enters at 7-5 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.17 WHIP across 79.2 innings. He has limited opponents to 65 hits while striking out 77 batters and has surrendered only six home runs.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay has been the more consistent club throughout the first-half of the season, especially at home, where the Rays own a dominant 31-12 record. McClanahan gives Tampa Bay the edge on the mound, while the Rays have already controlled the season series and continue to receive balanced production at both the plate and on the mound. Final Score Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays win 5-3.
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