New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction for Sunday June 14 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/14/2026, 12:30 AM ET

The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays meet on Sunday, June 14, 2026, at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers Matchup

The pitching matchup features Will Warren for New York and Patrick Corbin for Toronto. Warren has been outstanding this season, posting a 7-1 record with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP across 68.2 innings. He has allowed 61 hits while striking out 75 batters and issuing 21 walks, giving up seven home runs. Corbin enters with a 2-3 record, a 4.55 ERA, and a 1.45 WHIP over 57.1 innings. He has allowed 63 hits, struck out 40 batters, walked 20, and surrendered seven home runs. Based on the season statistics provided, Warren enters this contest with the stronger overall numbers.

Yankees Looking to Bounce Back

New York enters Sunday's game with a 41-27 overall record and an impressive 22-15 record on the road. The Yankees are coming off an 8-5 loss to Toronto but have still won four of their last five games. During that stretch, New York recently won over Cleveland by scores of 8-4, 3-2, and 7-5 in 10 innings. The Yankees also recently won over Boston by a 6-1 score before falling to the Blue Jays in the series opener. Even with the recent loss, New York remains one of the stronger teams in this matchup based on overall record and road performance.

The Yankees are batting .242 with 347 runs scored, 545 hits, and 98 home runs. They own a .331 on-base percentage and a .432 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, New York has been excellent, posting a 3.34 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP while holding opponents to a .223 batting average. The staff has recorded 583 strikeouts and issued 210 walks.

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The biggest strength for New York is its combination of power and pitching. The Yankees lead this matchup in home runs while also owning the better ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Those numbers have been a major reason the club sits well above .500 entering this series finale.

Blue Jays Hoping to Keep Momentum Going

Toronto enters the contest with a 34-36 overall record and a solid 21-16 mark at home. The Blue Jays recently won over New York by an 8-5 score and have won three of their last five games overall. During that stretch, Toronto recently won over Philadelphia 3-2 and recently won over Baltimore 6-4. The Blue Jays also recently lost to Philadelphia by scores of 7-4 and 5-2. Toronto has been competitive at home and will look to build on its latest victory.

The Blue Jays are batting .250 as a team with 289 runs scored, 587 hits, and 67 home runs. They own a .314 on-base percentage and a .388 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has produced a 4.08 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .241. Toronto has also recorded 625 strikeouts and issued 229 walks.

Toronto's biggest advantage is its ability to consistently put the ball in play and generate hits. The Blue Jays lead New York in batting average and total hits. However, they trail the Yankees in several power and pitching categories, which creates a difficult challenge against one of the stronger all-around clubs in the league.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick

  • Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

The Yankees enter this matchup with the better overall record, stronger road record, and advantages in several key statistical categories. New York also owns a significant edge in the starting pitching matchup based on the season numbers provided. While Toronto has played well at home and won the previous meeting, the overall profile favors the Yankees in the series finale.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 8.5

I would lean toward the over if the total is set at 8.5. The teams combined for 13 runs in their most recent meeting, and both offenses have shown the ability to generate scoring opportunities. New York has hit 98 home runs this season, while Toronto has collected 587 hits. With both lineups capable of producing offense, the over is my preferred play.

Final Score Prediction

New York Yankees 6 – Toronto Blue Jays 4

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.

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