Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday July 31 2026
The Philadelphia Phillies and Baltimore Orioles begin an interleague series Friday at 7:05 PM ET, with Baltimore listed as a -114 moneyline favorite and Philadelphia available at -105. The Orioles are also priced at -186 with 1.5 runs, while the Phillies can be backed at +153 on the -1.5 run line. If you are searching for more value on today's slate, check out our full MLB picks before locking in your card.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Orioles -114
- Total Pick: Under 9
- Final Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Phillies 3
Odds and Line Movement
Baltimore has moved from an even-money underdog to a -114 favorite as the week has progressed, while the total has held steady around nine runs with only minor fluctuation. Here is the current market followed by the full line movement for both the run line and total.
Current Odds
| Market | Philadelphia Phillies | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -105 | -114 |
| Run Line | -1.5 (+153) | +1.5 (-186) |
| Total | 9 (Over -100 / Under -120) | |
Line Movement
| Date | Time | Philadelphia | Baltimore | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/31 | 08:10:09AM | -105 | -114 | BAL 65%, 83% |
| 07/31 | 08:04:29AM | -105 | -115 | BAL 65%, 83% |
| 07/31 | 04:31:26AM | +105 | -126 | BAL 87%, 83% |
| 07/31 | 02:24:30AM | +105 | -126 | BAL 89%, 93% |
| 07/31 | 02:24:30AM | +105 | -126 | |
| 07/31 | 02:24:30AM | +105 | -126 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/31 | 08:34:38AM | 9o-102 | 9u-118 | O87%, U67% |
| 07/31 | 08:10:09AM | 8Âœo-120 | 8Âœu+100 | O87%, U67% |
| 07/31 | 08:04:29AM | 8Âœo-118 | 8Âœu-102 | O87%, U67% |
| 07/31 | 04:31:26AM | 9o-105 | 9u-115 | U92%, U90% |
| 07/31 | 02:24:30AM | 9o-107 | 9u-113 |
Phillies vs Orioles Key Matchups and Game Preview
Phillies Pitching Uncertainty
Philadelphia has not announced its starting pitcher, creating meaningful uncertainty for bettors because the Phillies could use either a traditional starter or a bullpen-heavy approach. That lack of clarity adds risk for anyone backing Philadelphia on the run line.
Baltimore's Reliable Arm
Baltimore will counter with Brandon Young, who enters at 8-2 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.29 WHIP across 97.2 innings. Young has allowed 92 hits and nine home runs while recording 80 strikeouts against 34 walks, giving the Orioles a steady option against a Philadelphia lineup that has been inconsistent.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Philadelphia's Power Bats
The Phillies are batting .236 with a .303 on-base percentage, .400 slugging percentage and 473 runs. Philadelphia has displayed slightly more power with 138 home runs compared with Baltimore's 127. Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 33 home runs and has driven in 62 runs, although his day-to-day status adds another concern for an offense already searching for consistency. Bryce Harper has produced 22 homers and 64 RBIs, while Brandon Marsh leads Philadelphia with a .280 average.
Baltimore's On-Base Advantage
The Orioles own a .237 average, .321 OBP, .394 slugging percentage and 501 runs, having done a better job reaching base and converting those opportunities into runs than Philadelphia this season. Pete Alonso leads Baltimore's lineup, batting .249 with 22 home runs, 67 RBIs and a .461 slugging percentage.
Betting Trends: PHI and BAL
The Phillies enter on a three-game losing streak after being swept in Miami and have dropped four of their past five games overall. Baltimore has alternated wins and losses during its last five games but earned a 10-9 extra-inning victory over Detroit in its most recent contest. The moneyline has moved sharply toward Baltimore over the past day, shifting from +105 to -114 on Philadelphia's side of the number.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: PHI and BAL
Injuries could significantly affect both clubs. Philadelphia is without catcher Rafael Marchan and several relievers, while Johan Rojas remains on the 60-day injured list. Baltimore is missing Adley Rutschman and Samuel Basallo, leaving the Orioles thin behind the plate, while Ryan Mountcastle and Blaze Alexander are also sidelined.
Phillies vs Orioles Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: Orioles Moneyline (-114)
- Total Pick: Under 9 (-120)
Young provides the only confirmed and proven starting option in this matchup, while Baltimore's stronger on-base production and home-field advantage create a slight edge. However, the Orioles' catching injuries and Philadelphia's power make laying runs too risky.
Final Score Prediction
- Final Score: Orioles 5, Phillies 3
How to Wager On Phillies vs Orioles
Bettors looking to get down on Phillies vs Orioles have several tools available to help shape their picks. Our AI picks hub breaks down model-driven projections for this matchup, while the Dimers review and Oddible review offer additional angles on the run line, total and moneyline markets for this interleague series opener.
Never Tried Picks and Parlays? Now Is Your Chance
- Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code BUCK
- If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
- If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
- Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users â Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
