Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction for Saturday June 13 2026
The Philadelphia Phillies travel to face the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday, June 13, 2026, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET with coverage available on MLB.TV and FS1. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers
Philadelphia is expected to start Aaron Nola, while Milwaukee is scheduled to counter with Shane Drohan. Nola enters this matchup with a 3-4 record, a 5.86 ERA, and a 1.45 WHIP across 66.0 innings. He has allowed 74 hits while recording 68 strikeouts, walking 22, and surrendering 11 home runs. Drohan comes into the contest with a 3-1 record, a 3.11 ERA, and a 1.12 WHIP over 37.2 innings. He has allowed 31 hits while striking out 37 batters, issuing 11 walks, and giving up two home runs.
Philadelphia Searches for Another Road Win
The Phillies enter this matchup with a 37-31 overall record and an 18-14 mark on the road. Philadelphia has won three of its last five games, recently winning over Toronto twice and Chicago once. The Phillies most recently defeated Toronto 7-4 and also picked up a 5-2 victory in that series. Their two recent losses came against Toronto and Chicago.
Philadelphia is batting .228 as a team with 276 runs, 518 hits, and 86 home runs. The Phillies have produced a .298 on-base percentage and a .389 slugging percentage. On the mound, they carry a 4.01 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .256. Philadelphia has also drawn 186 walks and recorded 641 strikeouts.
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The biggest strength for Philadelphia is its power. The Phillies have hit 86 home runs, substantially more than Milwaukee's 57. That ability to change a game with one swing gives Philadelphia an opportunity to stay competitive even when the offense is not generating a high batting average.
Milwaukee Continues an Impressive Season
The Brewers come into this contest with a 41-25 overall record and a strong 21-13 record at home. Milwaukee has won three of its last five games, recently winning over the Athletics and Colorado. The Brewers posted victories of 15-14, 12-4, and 7-1 before dropping their last two games against the Athletics by scores of 7-5 and 4-3.
Milwaukee has been one of the more balanced teams in this matchup. The Brewers are batting .254 with 352 runs, 570 hits, and 57 home runs. They own a .340 on-base percentage and a .389 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has produced a 3.47 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .226 batting average. Milwaukee has also drawn 227 walks and recorded 639 strikeouts.
The biggest strength for Milwaukee is its overall efficiency. The Brewers lead Philadelphia in batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Those advantages help explain both their superior record and the confidence reflected in the matchup predictor.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick
- Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
Milwaukee is the side I prefer in this matchup. The Brewers have the better overall record, the stronger home record, and advantages across most of the major offensive and pitching categories. They also enter with the edge in the projected starting pitching matchup, making Milwaukee the stronger choice.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Total Pick
- Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.
I would lean under if the total is set at 8.5. Milwaukee enters with a strong 3.47 team ERA and a .226 opponent batting average, while its projected starter owns a 3.11 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Philadelphia's offense has power, but its team batting average sits at .228. Those numbers point toward a lower-scoring game.
Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 5 – Philadelphia Phillies 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.
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