Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Picks and Prediction for Friday May 8 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/08/2026, 01:05 AM ET
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The Seattle Mariners visit the Chicago White Sox on Friday, May 8, 2026, at Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 PM, with coverage available on ESPN Unlmtd and MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Fans looking for more baseball betting insight can also check out free MLB picks for additional daily predictions.

Starting Pitchers

Emerson Hancock gets the start for Seattle, entering with a 2-1 record, a 2.59 ERA, and a 0.96 WHIP across 41.2 innings. He has allowed 34 hits while striking out 46 and walking only six, though he has allowed seven home runs. Sean Burke starts for Chicago with a 2-2 record, a 2.72 ERA, and a 1.01 WHIP across 39.2 innings. Burke has allowed 32 hits with 32 strikeouts, eight walks, and three home runs.

Mariners Trying to Turn Close Games Into Momentum

Seattle enters this matchup with an 18-20 overall record and a 6-9 road mark. The Mariners recently won over Atlanta 3-1 after recently lost to Atlanta 3-2, and they also recently won over Atlanta 5-4. Before that, Seattle recently lost to Kansas City 4-1 and recently lost to Kansas City 3-2 in extra innings. The Mariners have been competitive in several close games, but the results have been mixed over the last five.

Seattle comes in with a .229 team batting average, 153 runs, 286 hits, and 42 home runs. The Mariners have a .319 on-base percentage and a .377 slugging percentage. On the mound, Seattle owns a 3.63 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, 318 strikeouts, and a .255 opponent batting average.

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The strongest edge for Seattle is the pitching profile. The Mariners have the lower ERA, lower WHIP, and more strikeouts compared to Chicago. The concern is that Seattle has not consistently turned tight games into wins, especially away from home.

White Sox Looking for a Home Reset

Chicago enters this game with a 17-20 overall record and a 7-8 home record. The White Sox recently lost to the Angels 8-2 and recently lost to the Angels 4-3 after recently winning over the Angels 6-0. Before that, Chicago recently lost to San Diego 4-3 and recently won over San Diego 4-0. The White Sox have had strong pitching moments recently, but consistency has been difficult to maintain.

Chicago has a .229 batting average with 155 runs, 280 hits, and 45 home runs. The White Sox own a .322 on-base percentage and a .380 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff carries a 4.23 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, 294 strikeouts, and a .242 opponent batting average.

Chicago’s biggest advantage is power. The White Sox have more home runs than Seattle and a slightly better slugging percentage. However, the pitching numbers lean toward Seattle, especially when comparing ERA and WHIP.

Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Picks and Prediction

Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Pick

  • Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline

Seattle is the pick because the Mariners have the better overall pitching profile and the stronger starting pitcher numbers entering this matchup. The Mariners hold advantages in ERA, WHIP, and strikeouts, while their starter also carries a sub-1.00 WHIP. Chicago has shown slightly more power, but Seattle’s pitching edge gives the Mariners the stronger path in a game that projects to be tight.

Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 7.5

I would lean toward the under because both starting pitchers enter with ERAs under 3.00 and WHIPs close to 1.00 or better. Seattle’s recent games against Kansas City and Atlanta have also included several lower-scoring results, while Chicago has recently played multiple games where pitching controlled the matchup. With both starters carrying strong numbers, this game looks more likely to stay controlled offensively.

Final Score Prediction: Seattle Mariners 4 – Chicago White Sox 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.

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