Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday July 28 2026
Tuesday night's MLB predictions slate opens a three-game series between the Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium, with first pitch scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Los Angeles enters at 67-39 after winning four of its last five games, although the Dodgers had their four-game winning streak stopped by an 8-3 loss to the Mets on Sunday. Seattle is 52-55 and has dropped four of its last five, including a 7-3 loss to Texas in its most recent contest. With the Dodgers sitting as heavy favorites and the total set at 9.5 runs, this series opener offers a strong angle for bettors before first pitch.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (+104)
- Total Pick: Under 9.5
- Projected Final Score: Dodgers 6, Mariners 3
Odds and Line Movement
Los Angeles is currently priced at -193 on the moneyline with Seattle available at +158, while the Dodgers can also be backed at +104 on the -1.5 run line. The total sits at 9.5 runs. Below is a breakdown of how the numbers and public betting percentages have moved since Sunday night.
Current Odds
| Date | Time | Seattle | LA Dodgers | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/28 | 09:17:00AM | +158 | -193 | LAD 94%, 93% |
Line Movement - Moneyline
| Date | Time | Seattle | LA Dodgers | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/28 | 09:17:00AM | +158 | -193 | LAD 94%, 93% |
| 07/28 | 07:24:40AM | +158 | -193 | LAD 88%, 93% |
| 07/28 | 06:37:50AM | +158 | -193 | LAD 85%, 90% |
| 07/28 | 05:57:58AM | +157 | -192 | LAD 84%, 89% |
| 07/28 | 00:42:02AM | +157 | -192 | LAD 80%, 88% |
| 07/28 | 00:42:02AM | +157 | -192 | LAD 80%, 87% |
| 07/27 | 10:34:37PM | +157 | -192 | |
| 07/27 | 10:32:58PM | +155 | -189 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/28 | 09:17:00AM | 9½o+100 | 9½u-120 | U94%, U92% |
| 07/28 | 07:24:40AM | 9½o-105 | 9½u-115 | U94%, U92% |
| 07/28 | 06:37:50AM | 9½o-102 | 9½u-118 | U94%, U92% |
| 07/27 | 10:32:58PM | 9½o-105 | 9½u-115 |
Mariners vs Dodgers Key Matchups and Game Preview
Mariners Rotation Concerns
Luis Castillo starts for Seattle with a 3-9 record, 4.85 ERA and 1.33 WHIP through 94.2 innings this season. Castillo has allowed 96 hits, 30 walks and 14 home runs while recording 84 strikeouts, leaving him vulnerable against a deep Dodgers lineup that leads this matchup in nearly every important offensive category.
Dodgers Pitching Advantage
Justin Wrobleski gives Los Angeles the stronger starting-pitching profile, entering at 11-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.01 WHIP across 106.2 innings. The left-hander has limited opponents to 87 hits and eight home runs while producing 80 strikeouts against only 21 walks.
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Los Angeles Offensive Depth
Los Angeles is batting .260 with 546 runs, 136 home runs, a .340 on-base percentage and a .431 slugging percentage. Freddie Freeman leads the club with a .301 average and .381 on-base percentage, Shohei Ohtani has supplied 22 home runs, and Andy Pages owns a team-high 69 RBIs.
Seattle's Offensive Struggles
Seattle has struggled offensively, batting .230 with 429 runs, a .309 on-base percentage and a .377 slugging mark. Dominic Canzone leads the Mariners with 16 home runs, Randy Arozarena is batting .284 with a .378 on-base percentage, and Cole Young has driven in a team-best 48 runs.
Mariners Injury Report
Seattle's depth is reduced by injuries to Rob Refsnyder, Brendan Donovan and Will Wilson, while reliever Matt Brash remains unavailable.
Dodgers Pitching Absences
The Dodgers are missing Enrique Hernandez, and their pitching depth has been affected by the absences of Edwin Diaz, Ben Casparius, Bobby Miller and Gavin Stone. Those rotation and bullpen injuries could matter if Wrobleski exits early.
Betting Trends: SEA and LAD
Public money has stayed heavily on Los Angeles throughout this window, holding between 80% and 94% of money on nearly every update since Sunday night. As of the most recent 07/28 update at 09:17:00AM, the market shows 94% of money and 93% of bets on the Dodgers. That backing has remained consistent even as the run line has moved from -189 on 07/27 up to as high as -193 by Tuesday morning. On the total, the Under has drawn 94% of money and 92% of bets across the most recent 07/28 updates, while the number itself has shifted from an Over-leaning 9½o-102 line to a more even 9½o+100 price by Tuesday morning.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: SEA and LAD
- Rob Refsnyder, Brendan Donovan and Will Wilson remain sidelined for Seattle.
- Reliever Matt Brash is unavailable for the Mariners.
- Enrique Hernandez is out for Los Angeles.
- Edwin Diaz, Ben Casparius, Bobby Miller and Gavin Stone remain unavailable for the Dodgers' pitching staff.
Mariners vs Dodgers Side and Over/Under Picks
Castillo's declining run prevention makes Seattle difficult to trust against an offense that combines power with strong on-base ability, while Wrobleski should be positioned to control a Mariners lineup that has produced the weaker numbers across the board.
- Side Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (+104)
- Total Pick: Under 9.5
Final Score Prediction
- Los Angeles Dodgers 6, Seattle Mariners 3
How to Wager On Mariners vs Dodgers
Bettors weighing Los Angeles' run line and the Under in this series opener have a few resources to compare projections before placing a wager. For a data-driven cross-check on Wrobleski's edge over Castillo, exploring AI picks can help validate the pitching gap between these two starters. Bettors can also review the Dimers review for another projection angle on Mariners vs Dodgers, or check the Oddible review for an additional resource to weigh against Los Angeles' spread and the Under before locking in a final decision.
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