Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions for Tuesday April 28 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 04/28/2026, 12:50 AM ET
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The Seattle Mariners travel to Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota to face the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday, April 28, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 7:40 PM and coverage available on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. This matchup features two teams looking to shift momentum in opposite directions, making it a compelling contest in the American League. For bettors aiming to stay ahead with smart angles and daily insights, take a look at the latest free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers Overview

Seattle is set to start Logan Gilbert, who enters with a 1-3 record, a 4.36 ERA, and a 1.27 WHIP over 33.0 innings. He has allowed 35 hits while striking out 35 batters and issuing seven walks, along with surrendering three home runs. Minnesota will counter with Joe Ryan, who comes in with a 2-2 record, a 3.90 ERA, and a 1.02 WHIP across 32.1 innings. Ryan has allowed 25 hits while recording 33 strikeouts and eight walks, while giving up three home runs.

Mariners Carrying Strong Momentum Into Minnesota

Seattle enters this matchup with a 14-15 overall record and a 4-8 mark on the road. Despite their struggles away from home, the Mariners have been playing their best baseball recently, winning four of their last five games. They recently won multiple close contests along with a high-scoring victory, showing an ability to compete in different styles of games.

Offensively, Seattle is hitting .233 as a team with 118 runs scored and 224 hits. They have hit 31 home runs while posting a .324 on-base percentage and a .378 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Mariners have been effective, holding a 3.52 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .258 against them. Their pitching staff has issued 69 walks and recorded 234 strikeouts.

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A key strength for Seattle has been their pitching staff, as indicated by their 3.52 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. These numbers reflect an ability to limit scoring opportunities and maintain control of games, which has contributed to their recent success.

Twins Looking to Break Out of Recent Struggles

Minnesota comes into this game with a 12-16 record and a 7-6 mark at home. The Twins have struggled recently, losing all five of their last games, including several contests where they were unable to generate enough offense to keep pace. This recent stretch highlights a team searching for consistency.

From a statistical perspective, Minnesota is hitting .227 as a team with 132 runs scored and 210 hits. They have hit 33 home runs while posting a .323 on-base percentage and a .374 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Twins hold a 4.32 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP, allowing opponents to hit .253 against them. Their pitching staff has issued 99 walks and recorded 223 strikeouts.

One notable concern for Minnesota has been their pitching performance, as reflected in their 4.32 ERA and .253 opponent batting average. These figures suggest that opposing teams have been able to create scoring opportunities, which has contributed to their recent losing streak.

Mariners vs Twins Picks and Prediction

Mariners vs Twins Pick

Pick: Mariners Moneyline

Seattle appears to have the advantage in this matchup based on both recent performance and overall pitching effectiveness. The Mariners have won four of their last five games and have shown strong pitching numbers, including a lower ERA and WHIP compared to Minnesota. While both starting pitchers have similar profiles, Seattle’s overall staff has been more consistent at limiting runs. Combined with Minnesota’s recent struggles, this gives the Mariners the edge in this contest.

Mariners vs Twins Total Pick

Pick: Under 8.5

I’m leaning toward the under in this matchup due to Seattle’s strong pitching performance and Minnesota’s recent offensive struggles. The Mariners have demonstrated an ability to control games with their pitching staff, while the Twins have had difficulty producing runs during their recent losing streak. With both factors in play, this game profiles as one where scoring may be limited.

Final Score Prediction: Mariners 4 – Twins 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.

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