Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday August 13 2026
The Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees wrap up their three-game series Thursday, August 13, with first pitch at 1:35 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium, and this Mariners vs Yankees matchup features one of the sharpest pitching duels of the day with Logan Gilbert opposing Max Fried. New York has already taken the first two games of the series, but the number has moved several times since Tuesday. For more angles like this one, check out our MLB picks before finalizing your card.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Side: Seattle +1.5 (-180)
- Total: Under 7.5 (-105)
- Projected Final Score: Yankees 3, Mariners 2
Odds and Line Movement
The market has moved consistently in New York's favor since Tuesday afternoon, and tracking that movement gives context on where the money has landed heading into Thursday's series finale.
Current Odds
| Date | Time | Seattle | NY Yankees | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | 03:16:56AM | +126 | -135 | NYY 92%, 84% |
Line Movement - Moneyline
| Date | Time | Seattle | NY Yankees | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | 03:16:56AM | +126 | -135 | NYY 92%, 84% |
| 08/13 | 03:16:56AM | +126 | -135 | NYY 89%, 84% |
| 08/13 | 03:14:16AM | +130 | -139 | NYY 90%, 84% |
| 08/13 | 01:29:56AM | +126 | -135 | NYY 89%, 84% |
| 08/13 | 01:29:56AM | +127 | -136 | NYY 90%, 87% |
| 08/13 | 12:36:16AM | +119 | -144 | NYY 92%, 87% |
| 08/12 | 09:37:35PM | +119 | -144 | NYY 90%, 87% |
| 08/12 | 08:11:44PM | +123 | -149 | NYY 92%, 89% |
| 08/12 | 08:11:44PM | +123 | -149 | NYY 91%, 89% |
| 08/12 | 07:49:06PM | +125 | -151 | NYY 88%, 89% |
| 08/12 | 04:39:31PM | +124 | -150 | SEA 93%, 93% |
| 08/12 | 03:18:14PM | +124 | -150 | NYY 83%, 87% |
| 08/12 | 03:13:36PM | +125 | -151 | NYY 83%, 87% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | 07:50:30AM | 7.5o-114 | 7.5u-105 | O91%, O87% |
| 08/13 | 03:16:56AM | 7.5o-115 | 7.5u-104 | O59%, O87% |
| 08/13 | 01:29:56AM | 7.5o-115 | 7.5u-105 | O92%, O87% |
| 08/13 | 12:36:16AM | 7.5o-118 | 7.5u-102 | O92%, O87% |
| 08/12 | 07:49:06PM | 8o-105 | 8u-115 | O92%, O87% |
| 08/12 | 04:39:31PM | 8o-107 | 8u-113 | U70%, U51% |
| 08/12 | 03:28:53PM | 8o-105 | 8u-115 | U70%, U51% |
| 08/12 | 03:18:14PM | 8o-104 | 8u-116 | — |
| 08/12 | 03:13:36PM | 7.5o-120 | 7.5u+100 | — |
Mariners vs Yankees Key Matchups and Game Preview
Logan Gilbert takes the mound for Seattle carrying an 8-7 record, a 3.42 ERA and an excellent 1.00 WHIP through 139.1 innings this season. He has compiled 145 strikeouts against just 32 walks while allowing 107 hits. Max Fried has been even more effective on a rate basis for New York, going 4-3 with a 2.88 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP across 81.1 innings, surrendering only 54 hits with 75 strikeouts and 25 walks. That pitching matchup naturally points toward a lower-scoring game, especially considering Seattle's offensive struggles this season.
The Mariners are batting just .228 with a .308 OBP and .375 slugging percentage while scoring 468 runs, compared to New York's .232 average, 545 runs and .413 slugging percentage. Julio Rodriguez leads Seattle with 19 home runs, while Randy Arozarena is hitting .276 with a .369 OBP, .453 slugging percentage and 16 homers. New York's Ben Rice has supplied significant power with 32 home runs and 76 RBI while batting .258 on the season.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Injuries substantially weaken the Yankees' lineup, with Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger and Giancarlo Stanton all on the injured list, removing three major power threats from New York's order. Carlos Rodon is also sidelined, though that does not directly impact Thursday's game with Fried starting. Seattle is without shortstop J.P. Crawford, while Cole Young and reliever Gabe Speier are both day-to-day heading into the finale.
Despite those absences, New York has controlled this series, winning 4-1 and 10-5 to take a 2-0 lead, while Seattle has dropped six straight games overall. The Yankees have won four of their last five and enter at 68-52, compared to Seattle's 56-65 mark. New York's recent offensive explosion is notable, but asking this depleted lineup to repeat it against Gilbert is difficult, and Fried gives Seattle little room for error offensively as well.
SEA vs NYY Betting Trends
The moneyline has moved firmly in New York's direction since Tuesday afternoon, sliding from -150 up as high as -151 before settling into the current -135 number, with Seattle's price improving from +124 out to +130 before landing at +126. Public money has consistently backed New York, sitting at 92 percent of bets and 84 percent of money on the latest number. The total has bounced between 7.5 and 8 over the course of the series, with the over drawing 91 percent of bets and 87 percent of money on the most recent line.
SEA vs NYY Key Injuries and Things to Know
- Aaron Judge (NYY) - injured list
- Cody Bellinger (NYY) - injured list
- Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - injured list
- Carlos Rodon (NYY) - sidelined, no Thursday impact
- J.P. Crawford (SEA) - out
- Cole Young (SEA) - day-to-day
- Gabe Speier (SEA) - day-to-day
Mariners vs Yankees Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side: Seattle +1.5 (-180)
- Total: Under 7.5 (-105)
Seattle +1.5 is the preferred way to attack this line rather than laying runs with an injury-hit Yankees lineup missing Judge, Bellinger and Stanton. On the total, both starters carry sub-1.01 WHIPs, which should suppress baserunners and keep the under in play throughout the afternoon.
Yankees Final Score Prediction
Yankees 3, Mariners 2
How to Wager on Mariners vs Yankees
For Thursday's series finale between Seattle and New York, the two most relevant markets are the run line, where Seattle +1.5 offers value at -180 against a depleted Yankees lineup, and the total, where the under 7.5 at -105 lines up with two starters carrying sub-1.01 WHIPs. Bettors looking to shop this line further or use additional tools before placing a wager can check out our AI picks hub, along with our Dimers review and Oddible review for more ways to build out a card around this matchup.
Never Tried Picks and Parlays? Now Is Your Chance
- Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code BUCK
- If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
- If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
- Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
