Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions for Friday, July 10, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 07/10/2026, 01:05 AM ET
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Mariners vs Rays Game Information

The Seattle Mariners will continue a road trip in Florida on Friday night for game 1 of 3 in St. Petersburg at 7:10 PM against the Tampa Bay Rays. Seattle is 47-47 this year, riding a 3-game skid after being swept by Miami. The Tampa Bay Rays stay home Friday, 17 games above .500 currently, the top team in the American League East following their loss Thursday against the New York Yankees. For more MLB action, see our MLB Picks.

Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners offense has a .230 batting average this season, as they have scored 327 runs on 709 hits. Seattle has a .311 OBP and a .379 team slugging percentage. The Seattle pitching has compiled a 3.54 team ERA this season, but they allowed 16 runs across their last 3 losses. Randy Arozarena leads Seattle this season with a .287 batting average and 42 RBI's. Dominic Canzone has a .269 batting average and leads the team with 15 home runs.

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay offense has been the team's anchor this season, with a .257 batting average, as they have scored 406 runs on 771 hits. Tampa Bay has a .334 OBP and a .395 team slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay pitching has compiled a 3.72 team ERA, but they have given up 19 runs across their last 3 losses. Yandy Diaz leads Tampa Bay this season with a .326 batting average. Junior Caminero has a .277 batting average and leads the team with 27 home runs. Jonathan Aranda has a .287 batting average and leads the way with 61 RBI's

Mariners vs RaysΒ  Pitching Matchup

Luis Castillo will be on the mound Friday for the Mariners, trying to get his year going in the right direction. Castillo is 3-7 this year with a 4.79 ERA through 82.2 innings of work. Nick Martinez will take the mound for Tampa Bay, trying to stay on point. Martinez is 7-2 this year with a 2.61 ERA through 100 innings.

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Mariners vs Rays Pick

Both teams are having some success this season, but Tampa Bay is the far better team. Tampa Bay has the better pitcher and a superior offense in this matchup. Look for Tampa Bay to do the work as they control this game on both sides of the plate Friday night to open this series with a home win against Seattle.

  • Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -112
  • Secondary: Β Under 8
  • Lean: Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Bases

Final Score Prediction:Β  Tampa Bay Rays win 4-2.

Game Written Prior to completion of game on Thursday.

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