St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday August 3 2026
The St. Louis Cardinals open a road series against the New York Yankees on Monday night, with New York listed as a -205 moneyline favorite and St. Louis at +168, while the Yankees are -1.5 at +101 and the total is set at eight runs. If you are searching for more value on today's slate, check out our full MLB predictions before locking in your card.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Yankees -1.5
- Total Pick: Under 8
- Final Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Cardinals 2
Odds and Line Movement
New York has strengthened from -186 to -205 as the favorite throughout the day, while the total has held around eight runs with only minor fluctuation. Here is the current market followed by the full line movement for both the run line and total.
Current Odds
| Market | St. Louis Cardinals | NY Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +168 | -205 |
| Run Line | +1.5 | -1.5 (+101) |
| Total | 8 (Over -105 / Under -115) | |
Line Movement
| Date | Time | St. Louis | NY Yankees | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02 | 10:57:04PM | +168 | -205 | NYY 85%, 93% |
| 08/02 | 10:57:04PM | +168 | -205 | NYY 80%, 93% |
| 08/02 | 10:57:04PM | +168 | -205 | NYY 91%, 91% |
| 08/02 | 10:57:04PM | +163 | -198 | NYY 84%, 91% |
| 08/02 | 08:40:05PM | +158 | -193 | NYY 71%, 92% |
| 08/02 | 08:39:14PM | +158 | -193 | NYY 71%, 92% |
| 08/02 | 03:20:07PM | +157 | -192 | NYY 92%, 88% |
| 08/02 | 03:20:07PM | +157 | -192 | |
| 08/02 | 03:19:27PM | +153 | -186 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02 | 10:57:04PM | 8o-105 | 8u-115 | |
| 08/02 | 08:40:05PM | 8o-108 | 8u-112 | |
| 08/02 | 08:39:14PM | 8o-110 | 8u-110 | |
| 08/02 | 03:20:07PM | 8o-112 | 8u-108 | |
| 08/02 | 03:19:27PM | 8o-110 | 8u-110 |
Cardinals vs Yankees Key Matchups and Game Preview
St. Louis' Rotation Test
Michael McGreevy gets the start for St. Louis carrying a 4-9 record, 3.57 ERA and 1.20 WHIP through 116 innings, with 76 strikeouts, 29 walks and 15 home runs allowed. Those numbers are respectable outside of the poor win-loss record, but he faces a difficult assignment against a Yankees club that is 63-49, owns a 41-31 home record and has scored 512 runs.
New York's Ace Advantage
Cam Schlittler gives New York a major advantage on the mound after going 10-6 with a 2.04 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over 136.2 innings. The right-hander has allowed only 98 hits while recording 165 strikeouts against 26 walks, and New York has gone 13-6 when he has started as the moneyline favorite.
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Cardinals' Modest Offense
St. Louis enters at 55-57 after snapping a three-game skid with Sunday's 5-1 victory in Toronto, but its season-long offensive numbers remain modest at a .239 batting average, 483 runs, 113 home runs and a .375 slugging percentage. Jordan Walker provides the Cardinals' biggest power threat with 22 home runs and 81 RBI, while Alec Burleson leads the club with a .284 average.
Yankees' Power Without Judge and Stanton
The Yankees are batting only .232 as a team, but their lineup has produced 157 homers and is led by Ben Rice, who is hitting .266 with 31 home runs, 73 RBI and a .561 slugging percentage. Injuries have removed much of New York's established power, however, with Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Cody Bellinger all sidelined.
Betting Trends: STL and NYY
The Cardinals have enough pitching to remain competitive early, but Schlittler's strikeout ability and command should suppress an offense that has scored fewer runs and hit substantially fewer home runs than New York. Public backing has remained heavily on the Yankees throughout the day, with support reaching as high as 91% on the moneyline.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: STL and NYY
The Yankees are also without starting pitchers Carlos Rodon and Clarke Schmidt, although Schlittler's availability softens that rotation concern considerably. St. Louis has fewer major absences, but Ramon Urias is unavailable and relievers JoJo Romero and Max Rajcic remain on the injured list, potentially weakening the bullpen behind McGreevy.
Cardinals vs Yankees Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: Yankees -1.5 (+101)
- Total Pick: Under 8 (-115)
With the Yankees missing several dangerous hitters, laying -205 is unattractive, but the plus-money run line provides a better route to backing the superior starter and home team. The under also has value because Schlittler can control the St. Louis lineup and McGreevy has limited walks and home runs effectively.
Final Score Prediction
- Final Score: Yankees 5, Cardinals 2
How to Wager On Cardinals vs Yankees
Bettors looking to get down on Cardinals vs Yankees have several tools available to help shape their picks. Our AI picks hub breaks down model-driven projections for this matchup, while the Dimers review and Oddible review offer additional angles on the run line, total and moneyline markets for this series opener at Yankee Stadium.
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