Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions for Saturday, May 9, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 05/10/2026, 01:50 AM ET

Rays vs Red Sox Game Information

The Tampa Bay Rays remain on the road Sunday for a 1:35 PM match-up inside Fenway Park against the Boston Red Sox in Boston, MA. Tampa Bay has 25 wins and 13 losses this season, having won 4 of the last 5 following the loss to Boston in their last outing. The Boston Red Sox stay home on Sunday, 17 wins and 22 losses, but have won 4 of the last 5 after their victory in Game 2 of this set. Stay in the news with our MLB Picks.

Rays Preview

Offensively, Tampa Bay has a .254 batting average as the Rays have scored 167 runs on 323 hits. Tampa Bay has a .327 OBP and a .373 team slugging percentage. Tampa Bay's pitching has carried the team this season, with a 3.51 team ERA. Yandy Diaz leads the way for the Tampa Bay offense with a .316 batting average. Junior Caminero has a .252 batting average and leads the team with 10 home runs. Jonathan Aranda has a .265 batting average and boasts a team high 29 RBI's this season.

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox offense has been below average this season, with a .234 batting average. The Red Sox have scored 155 runs on 306 hits. Boston has a .314 OBP and a .353 team slugging percentage. Boston's pitching has been shaky, with a 4.00 team ERA, but the team has allowed 7 runs across its last 4 victories. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston offense this season with a .303 batting average. Willson Contreras has a .259 batting average and leads the Red Sox with 8 home runs and 23 RBIs this season.

Rays vs Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Nick Martinez will be on the mound Sunday for the Rays. Martinez is 3-1 this season with a 1.71 ERA through 42 innings of work. Payton Tolle will counter for Boston. Tolle is 1-1 this year with a 2.04 ERA across 17.2 innings of work.

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Rays vs Red Sox Pick

Tampa Bay is the better team in this matchup and playing the better baseball coming into the final game of this series. Tampa Bay has looked strong all season and has been backed by a potent offense. Look for Tampa Bay to use its edge on both sides of the dish to overwhelm a bad Boston team on Sunday, taking the race to close this series, with a road win inside Fenway Park against the Boston Red Sox.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays
Secondary: Over
Lean: Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Bases

Final Score Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays 5-4.

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