Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Picks and Predictions for Saturday, July 4, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 07/04/2026, 01:00 AM ET
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Rays vs Astros Game Information

The Tampa Bay Rays continue their road trip Saturday night with a 7:10 PM matchup in Houston, Texas, inside Daikin Park against the Houston Astros. Tampa Bay is rolling this season, well above .500, currently the top team in the American League East. The Houston Astros have had their struggles this season, hovering around .500 coming into Saturday, currently in the middle of the American League West. For more MLB News, see our MLB Picks.

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay offense has carried the team this season with a .261 batting average, as they have scored 380 runs on 722 hits. Tampa Bay has a .339 OBP and a .397 team slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay pitching has carried them this season with a 3.74 team ERA. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay offense this season with a .326 batting average. Junior Caminero has a .288 batting average and leads the team with 24 home runs. Jonathan Aranda has a .292 batting average in Leeds Tampa Bay with 58 RBIs.

Astros Preview

The Houston Astros offense has been solid enough this season, with a .241 batting average, Houston has scored 400 runs on 723 hits. Houston has a .316 OBP and a .408 team slugging percentage. The Houston pitching has been the team's biggest issue, with a 4.77 team ERA. Yordan Alvarez leads Houston this season with a .319 batting average, 26 home runs, and 60 RBIs.

Rays vs Astros Pitching Matchup

Drew Rasmussen will be on the mound Saturday for Tampa Bay. Rasmussen is 7-4 on the year with a 2.45 ERA through 92 innings of action. Houston will send out Hunter Brown to counter on Saturday. Brown is 1-0 with a 1.78 ERA through 25.1 innings of work this season.

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Rays vs Astros Pick

Tampa Bay is the better team in this matchup, playing great baseball as of late. Look for Tampa Bay to use its edge on both sides of the dish in this game, leading to the victory. The Tampa Bay bullpen will be the difference as their offense leads the charge to a win on Saturday on the road in Houston.

  • Pick: Tampa Bay Rays
  • Secondary: Β Under
  • Lean: Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Bases

Final Score Prediction:Β Tampa Bay Rays win 5-2.

Game Written Prior to completion of game on Friday.

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