Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions for Friday, September 26, 2025
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The Tampa Bay Rays visit the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday at Rogers Centre at 7:07 PM ET on Apple TV+. Tampa Bay beat Baltimore 6–2 on Wednesday and is 77–81, sitting fourth in the AL East. Toronto lost 7–1 to Boston on Wednesday and is 90–68, tied for first in the AL East. Tampa Bay is out of playoff contention, and Toronto has clinched a playoff berth. Hit a home run with our free MLB picks.
Tampa Bay Rays
Adrian Houser (8–4, 3.18 ERA, 1.27 WHIP) has kept the ball in the park (9 home runs in 119.0 IP) and limits big innings. Tampa Bay’s staff holds a 3.85 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, and opponents hit just .236. This has allowed Tampa Bay to remain close in most games, but the results have not always turned out for the best.
At the plate, Junior Caminero supplies power (44 home runs, 109 RBI) while Yandy Díaz brings contact and consistency (.301/.366/.485). The Rays have split their last handful of games but remain below .500 on the road. Tampa Bay can put pressure on pitchers, but strikeouts are a problem across the lineup.
Toronto Blue Jays
Shane Bieber (3–2, 3.57 ERA, 0.96 WHIP in 35.1 IP) has been sharp in limited action, with 34 strikeouts against just 5 walks. Toronto’s staff ERA is higher at 4.24, but Bieber’s ability to limit baserunners has kept the score manageable for the bullpen as long as he can pitch into the sixth or seventh innings.
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George Springer is leading with 30 home runs and a .304 average, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. adds 23 home runs and a .386 on-base percentage. Toronto’s lineup posts stronger season numbers overall (.265/.333/.424) than Tampa Bay, and the Blue Jays are 50–27 at home. Even with Bo Bichette sidelined, the Blue Jays continue to battle for the American League East crown.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Shane Bieber’s command, Toronto’s home record, and a stronger top of the order give the Blue Jays a big advantage in what should be a lower-scoring game. Houser should keep Tampa Bay close early, but Toronto’s lineup will take over in the late innings to win. Final Score Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays win 4–2.
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Best Picks
- Toronto Blue Jays -130
- Under 8.5 runs
