Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions for Monday, May 11, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 05/11/2026, 12:35 AM ET

Rays vs Blue Jays Game Information

The Tampa Bay Rays will be on the road Monday night for a 7:07 PM match-up in Toronto, ON, inside the Rogers Centre for game 1 of a 3-game set against the Toronto Blue Jays. Tampa Bay has 26 wins and 13 losses this season, having won 4 of the last 5, following a 3-run road victory against the Boston Red Sox in their last outing. The Toronto Blue Jays stay home Monday night with 18 wins and 22 losses after losing 3 of the last 5. Stay in the news with our MLB Picks.

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay offense has carried the team this season with a .254 batting average as the Rays have scored 167 runs on 323 hits. Tampa Bay has a .327 OBP and a .373 team slugging percentage. Tampa Bay's pitching has been phenomenal, with a 3.51 team ERA this season. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay offense this season with a .314 batting average. Junior Caminero has a .252 batting average along with the team-leading 11 home runs. Jonathan Aranda has a .268 batting average to go along with the team-high 29 RBIs this season.

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays offense has been solid this season, with a .253 batting average. The Blue Jays have scored 163 runs on 334 hits. Toronto has a .316 OBP and a .385 team slugging percentage. Toronto's pitching has been shaky, with a 4.03 team ERA, and the team has allowed 13 runs across its last 3 losses. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto offense this season with a .308 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto has a .248 batting average and leads Toronto with 10 home runs and 26 RBI's.

Rays vs Blue Jays Pitching Matchup

Drew Rasmussen will take the mound Monday night for Tampa Bay. This season, Rasmussen is 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA across 36.2 innings of work. Toronto will counter Monday night with Kevin Gausman. Gausman is 2-2 this season with a 3.09 ERA across 46.2 innings of action.

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Rays vs Blue Jays Sox Pick

The Tampa Bay Rays are the much better team in this matchup, and it will show from the opening minutes of Monday night's game. Despite being the underdog, Tampa Bay has the edge on both sides of the plate. Look for the Rays to ride their recent hot hand against a struggling Toronto team. Take Tampa Bay Monday night to start this season with a victory on the road against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +119
Secondary: Over 7.5
Lean: Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Bases

Final Score Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays win 8-5.

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