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Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Tuesday May 5 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/05/2026, 12:35 AM ET

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The Texas Rangers will face the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York, on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. The game will be available on MLB.TV, and game-time weather is expected to be 75 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out free MLB picks for more insights on today’s action.

Starting Pitchers

Jacob deGrom will start for the Rangers, entering with a 2-1 record, a 2.01 ERA, and a 0.96 WHIP across 31.1 innings pitched. He has allowed 23 hits while striking out 40 batters and issuing 7 walks, along with giving up four home runs. Opposing him will be Elmer Rodriguez for the Yankees, who carries a 0-1 record with a 4.50 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched. He has allowed 4 hits while striking out 3 batters and issuing 4 walks, without allowing a home run.

Rangers Look to Bounce Back on the Road

The Texas Rangers enter this matchup with a 16-18 overall record and a 9-10 mark on the road. In their last five games, they recently lost to Detroit in back-to-back games by scores of 7-1 and 5-1, while also recently won over Detroit in a 5-4 result. Prior to that, they recently won over New York in a 3-0 contest but also recently lost to New York in a close 3-2 game. This stretch shows a team that has had mixed results, struggling to maintain momentum.

From a statistical standpoint, the Rangers are batting .235 with 127 runs on 265 hits and 31 home runs. They have posted a .313 on-base percentage and a .373 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, they carry a 3.66 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP, allowing a .232 opponent batting average. Their staff has issued 104 walks while recording 297 strikeouts, reflecting strong strikeout ability and solid overall pitching performance.

One key strength for Texas is their pitching staff, as evidenced by their lower ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. While their offense has been somewhat limited, their ability to control opposing hitters gives them a foundation to stay competitive in games.

Yankees Ride Strong Form at Home

The New York Yankees come into this contest with a 23-11 overall record and an 11-5 record at home. In their last five games, they recently won over Baltimore in three consecutive games by scores of 11-3, 9-4, and 7-2, while also recently won over Texas in a 3-2 game. Their only recent loss came against Texas in a 3-0 result, but overall they have been playing strong baseball with consistent success.

Offensively, New York is batting .241 with 180 runs on 269 hits and 56 home runs. They have recorded a .335 on-base percentage and a .450 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been effective, posting a 3.01 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP while allowing a .218 opponent batting average. They have issued 95 walks and recorded 297 strikeouts, demonstrating a balanced and efficient approach.

A key strength for the Yankees is their offensive power, as reflected in their league-leading home run total and strong slugging percentage. Combined with solid pitching numbers, this gives them a well-rounded profile that allows them to control games, particularly at home.

Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction

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Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees Pick

  • Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

The Yankees enter this matchup with a strong overall profile, combining offensive production with effective pitching. While Texas holds an advantage in starting pitching, New York’s consistent offense and strong home record provide a significant edge. Their ability to generate runs at a higher rate positions them well to come out on top in this contest.

Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 8.5

I am leaning toward the over in this matchup due to New York’s offensive production and ability to hit for power. While Texas has solid pitching numbers, the Yankees’ lineup has shown the ability to score consistently. Combined with Texas’ capability to contribute offensively, this game has the potential to surpass the total.

Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 6 – Texas Rangers 4

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.

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