Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction for Sunday June 28 2026
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The Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles continue their series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland, on Sunday, June 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 PM ET with television coverage on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Nationals a 34.0 percent chance to win, while the Orioles are favored with a 66.0 percent matchup predictor percentage. Be sure to check out our free MLB Picks.
Starting Pitchers Take the Spotlight
Zack Littell is scheduled to start for Washington and enters with a 6-6 record, a 5.40 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, 75.0 innings pitched, 80 hits allowed, 46 strikeouts, 23 walks, and 21 home runs allowed. Kyle Bradish gets the nod for Baltimore with a 5-7 record, a 3.64 ERA, a 1.45 WHIP, 89.0 innings pitched, 87 hits allowed, 94 strikeouts, 42 walks, and 11 home runs allowed. While Baltimore's starter has the higher WHIP, he owns the lower ERA, has worked more innings, recorded considerably more strikeouts, and allowed fewer home runs than his counterpart.
Washington Looks to Reverse Its Recent Slide
The Nationals come into Sunday's matchup with a 41-42 overall record and an impressive 24-17 road record. Washington recently lost to Baltimore and also dropped three consecutive games to Philadelphia before earning a victory over Philadelphia earlier in the week. The Nationals have lost four of their last five games and will try to halt that skid in the series finale.
Washington is batting .246 as a team with 439 runs, 697 hits, and 109 home runs while posting a .319 on-base percentage and a .422 slugging percentage. The pitching staff owns a 4.74 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .259. Washington has also recorded 650 strikeouts with 296 walks and is 19-20 in day games.
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The biggest strength for Washington is its offense. The Nationals have scored more runs, collected more hits, and hit more home runs than Baltimore. However, their pitching staff has struggled more consistently, with a higher ERA, higher WHIP, and higher opponent batting average than the Orioles.
Baltimore Tries to Keep the Momentum Going
Baltimore enters the contest with a 39-44 overall record and a 23-19 mark at home. The Orioles recently defeated Washington after splitting a four-game stretch against both Los Angeles teams that included two victories and two defeats. Baltimore has won three of its last five games and has an opportunity to continue that positive trend on its home field.
The Orioles are batting .241 with 385 runs, 668 hits, and 98 home runs. They own a .320 on-base percentage and a .402 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has produced a 4.39 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP while holding opponents to a .255 batting average. Baltimore has also totaled 658 strikeouts with 289 walks and owns a 17-20 record in day games.
Baltimore's biggest advantage is its pitching. The Orioles have the lower ERA, lower WHIP, and lower opponent batting average compared to Washington. Combined with the stronger matchup predictor percentage and home record, those numbers provide Baltimore with a solid statistical edge entering Sunday's game.
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Pick
- Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline
Baltimore is my selection because the Orioles have the stronger matchup predictor percentage, the better home record, and the more effective pitching staff based on the supplied statistics. Washington has produced better offensive numbers throughout the season, but Baltimore's advantage on the mound and recent victory in the series make the Orioles the stronger choice.
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Total Pick
- Take the over if the total is set at 9.0.
I like the over because Washington has scored 439 runs and hit 109 home runs this season, while both starting pitchers enter with enough traffic allowed to create scoring opportunities. The Nationals also carry a 4.74 team ERA, which supports the possibility of another game with multiple scoring chances.
Final Score Prediction: Baltimore Orioles 6 – Washington Nationals 5
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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