Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Predictions for Saturday April 11 2026
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The Washington Nationals travel to American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin to face the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday, April 11, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM. The game will be available on MLB.TV. Milwaukee enters as the favorite at -175 on the moneyline, while Washington is listed at +144. The total is set at 8 runs, with the Nationals +1.5 at -156 on the run line and the Brewers -1.5 at +129. For more betting insights, readers should check out free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers Taking the Mound
Washington will turn to Foster Griffin, who comes into this matchup with a 1-0 record, a 2.70 ERA, and a 1.30 WHIP across 10.0 innings. He has allowed 10 hits while striking out 11 and walking three, giving up two home runs. Milwaukee will counter with Kyle Harrison, who also holds a 1-0 record with a 2.61 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 10.1 innings. He has allowed seven hits while striking out 14 and walking three, also surrendering two home runs. Based on the numbers provided, Harrison has been slightly more efficient at limiting base runners and generating strikeouts. 
Nationals Looking to Break a Rough Stretch
Washington enters this game with a 4-8 overall record and a 3-3 mark on the road. The Nationals have struggled recently, losing four of their last five games. They recently dropped multiple games to St. Louis, including a 6-1 loss and a 7-6 extra-innings defeat, and also fell to Los Angeles by scores of 8-6 and 10-5. Their lone win in that stretch came in a 9-6 victory, showing that while they can produce offense, consistency has been an issue.
From a statistical standpoint, the Nationals have posted a .266 team batting average with 71 runs, 113 hits, and 16 home runs. Their on-base percentage sits at .339 with a .431 slugging percentage. However, their pitching has struggled, as they carry a 6.06 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .275. The staff has recorded 92 strikeouts and issued 60 walks, indicating difficulty in controlling opposing offenses.
One clear weakness for Washington is its pitching performance. With a 6.06 ERA and a .275 opponent batting average, they have consistently allowed runs, which has offset their strong offensive production. That imbalance has contributed to their losing record despite solid hitting numbers.
Brewers Building Success at Home
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with an 8-4 overall record and a strong 5-1 record at home. The Brewers have gone 2-3 over their last five games, recently picking up wins over Boston and Kansas City, including an 8-6 and 8-5 result. However, they also dropped games to Boston and Kansas City, showing some variability in performance despite their strong overall record.
The Brewers have posted a .253 batting average with 70 runs, 101 hits, and 10 home runs. Their on-base percentage is .356 with a .395 slugging percentage. On the mound, Milwaukee has been solid with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .226 batting average. The pitching staff has recorded 124 strikeouts and issued 54 walks, reflecting steady performance across the board.
A key strength for Milwaukee is its ability to balance offense and pitching. With a solid ERA and a .226 opponent batting average combined with 70 runs scored, the Brewers have been able to control games more effectively than Washington.
Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bruce Marshall | +6,749.00 |
| 2 |  Bryan Power | +5,537.00 |
| 3 |  Tony Karpinski | +4,340.00 |
| 4 |  Pro Sports Picks | +3,905.00 |
| 5 |  The Gold Sheet | +2,237.00 |
Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick
Pick: Brewers Moneyline
Milwaukee has the advantage in this matchup based on overall team performance and pitching consistency. The Brewers have a significantly lower ERA and opponent batting average compared to Washington, and Kyle Harrison has been slightly more effective than Foster Griffin. While the Nationals have produced offensively, their pitching struggles make it difficult to rely on them in this spot. Milwaukee’s strong home record also adds to their edge.
Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Total Pick
Pick: Over 8
I’m leaning toward the over in this game because of Washington’s pitching struggles and strong offensive production. The Nationals have scored 71 runs with a .266 batting average, but their 6.06 ERA and .275 opponent batting average suggest they allow plenty of scoring opportunities. Milwaukee has also scored 70 runs, so both teams have the ability to contribute to the total.
Final Score Prediction: Brewers 6 – Nationals 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.
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