Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions for Tuesday April 28 2026
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The Washington Nationals head to Citi Field in Queens, New York to take on the New York Mets on Tuesday, April 28, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM and coverage available on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. This matchup features two teams trending in different directions recently, setting the stage for an interesting contest under the lights in New York. For bettors searching for an edge across today’s slate, take a moment to explore the latest free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers Breakdown
Washington is set to start Zack Littell, who enters with a 0-3 record, a 7.56 ERA, and a 1.68 WHIP over 25.0 innings. He has allowed 34 hits while striking out 15 batters and issuing eight walks, along with surrendering 11 home runs. On the other side, New York will go with Clay Holmes, who comes in with a 2-2 record, a 2.10 ERA, and a 1.03 WHIP across 30.0 innings. Holmes has allowed 21 hits while recording 19 strikeouts and 10 walks, while giving up three home runs.
Nationals Riding Momentum Into New York
Washington enters this matchup with a 13-16 overall record but has been impressive on the road, posting a strong 10-6 mark away from home. The Nationals have won two of their last five games, recently picking up back-to-back extra-innings victories after dropping three straight contests prior to that stretch. This recent run highlights a team that has shown resilience despite inconsistency.
Offensively, Washington is hitting .243 as a team with 156 runs scored and 245 hits. They have hit 34 home runs while posting a .325 on-base percentage and a .395 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Nationals hold a 5.24 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP, allowing opponents to hit .264 against them. Their pitching staff has issued 118 walks and recorded 230 strikeouts.
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A key weakness for Washington has been their pitching, as shown by their 5.24 ERA and .264 opponent batting average. These numbers indicate that opposing teams have been able to generate consistent offense, which has made it difficult for the Nationals to maintain leads.
Mets Searching for Stability at Home
New York comes into this game with a 9-19 record and a 5-10 mark at home. The Mets have struggled recently, losing three of their last five games, including a series of low-scoring defeats before picking up a couple of wins earlier in the stretch. Their recent performances suggest a team still trying to find consistency.
From a statistical perspective, New York is hitting .226 as a team with 92 runs scored and 212 hits. They have hit 20 home runs while posting a .288 on-base percentage and a .337 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Mets have a 4.01 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP, holding opponents to a .236 batting average. Their pitching staff has issued 101 walks and recorded 254 strikeouts.
One area where the Mets have shown strength is on the mound, as reflected in their 4.01 ERA and .236 opponent batting average. These numbers suggest that their pitching staff has been more effective at limiting damage compared to their opponent in this matchup.
Nationals vs Mets Picks and Prediction
Nationals vs Mets Pick
Pick: Mets Moneyline
New York looks like the stronger side in this matchup based on the pitching advantage. Clay Holmes has delivered a solid ERA and WHIP while limiting hits and home runs, which stands in sharp contrast to Zack Littell’s struggles. Washington’s pitching staff overall has also posted higher ERA and WHIP numbers, indicating more difficulty preventing runs. While the Nationals have been strong on the road, the Mets’ edge on the mound gives them a favorable position in this game.
Nationals vs Mets Total Pick
Pick: Under 8.5
I’m leaning toward the under in this matchup due to New York’s lower team batting average and slugging percentage, which suggests limited offensive output. Additionally, while Washington has produced runs this season, their inconsistency combined with the Mets’ stronger pitching numbers points toward a more controlled game. With one pitcher showing strong form and one offense struggling, this game profiles as a lower-scoring contest.
Final Score Prediction: Mets 4 – Nationals 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.
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