Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks and Predictions for Thursday March 12 2026
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The Dallas Mavericks travel to face the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday, March 12, 2026 at the FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET with television coverage on FanDuel SN SE, KFAA-TV, and Mavs.com. The Memphis Grizzlies enter this matchup as 3-point favorites, and at the time of this writing the total and moneyline were not listed. Be sure to also check out our free NBA picks for additional betting insight on today’s NBA games.
Mavericks Searching for Momentum on the Road
The Dallas Mavericks enter this matchup with a 21-44 overall record and they have struggled heavily on the road this season with a 7-24 record away from home. Dallas has had a difficult stretch recently, recently lost to Atlanta 124-112, recently lost to Toronto 122-92, recently lost to Boston 120-100, recently lost to Orlando 115-114, and recently lost to Charlotte 117-90. This five game losing streak highlights the challenges the Mavericks have faced on both ends of the floor.
Dallas averages 113.0 points per game this season while allowing 117.8 points per game defensively. The Mavericks shoot 47% from the field and average 44.7 rebounds along with 24.8 assists per game. Defensively they contribute 5.3 blocks and 7.3 steals per contest.
One of the biggest issues for Dallas has been defensive consistency, as allowing nearly 118 points per game has made it difficult for them to stay competitive in games. Even when their offense performs reasonably well, the defensive struggles have led to a number of lopsided losses during this recent stretch.
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Grizzlies Hoping to Break Losing Skid
The Memphis Grizzlies enter this game with a 23-41 overall record and they are 11-19 at home this season. Memphis has also struggled recently, recently lost to Philadelphia 139-129, recently lost to Brooklyn 126-115, recently lost to LA Clippers 123-120, recently lost to Portland 122-114, and recently lost to Minnesota 117-110. That five game losing streak has placed pressure on the Grizzlies to find a way to regain momentum.
Memphis averages 115.7 points per game while allowing 118.3 points per contest this season. The Grizzlies shoot 46% from the field and average 43.8 rebounds per game. They also move the ball well with 28.8 assists per game while contributing 5.2 blocks and 8.7 steals defensively.
One of the bright spots for Memphis has been their ball movement and ability to create scoring opportunities through passing. Averaging nearly 29 assists per game shows that when their offense is clicking, the Grizzlies can generate high scoring performances.
Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick
Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick
- Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -3
Both teams enter this matchup on losing streaks, but Memphis has the advantage of playing at home where they have shown more competitiveness compared to Dallas on the road. The Mavericks have struggled significantly away from home with just seven road wins this season.
Dallas also continues to allow nearly 118 points per game, which creates opportunities for Memphis to find offensive rhythm. With the Grizzlies’ ability to move the ball and create scoring chances, they appear to have the edge in this matchup.
Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Total Pick
- Pick: Over
I see this matchup turning into a higher scoring game based on the defensive numbers from both teams. Dallas allows 117.8 points per game while Memphis allows 118.3 points per contest, which indicates both defenses have struggled throughout the season.
When I combine those defensive numbers with the offensive pace both teams can play at, I believe this game has a strong chance of turning into a scoring battle that pushes the total toward the over.
Final Score Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies 122, Dallas Mavericks 116
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.
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