Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks and Prediction for Thursday November 12 2026

By: Eddie Kline Published 11/12/2026, 12:30 AM ET
LaMelo Ball takes inbounds pass

The Target Center will play host to a Thursday night NBA clash between the Dallas Mavericks and the Minnesota Timberwolves. Tipoff is scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 8:00 pm EST. The game will be televised on NBA TV. The Timberwolves are a 4.5 point home favorite and the total is set at 225.5. For other NBA action see our NBA Predictions.

Dallas starting to surge

The Dallas Mavericks have missed the playoffs in consecutive seasons and are committed to building around former number one overall draft pick Cooper Flagg. The Mavericks (7-4) have won three consecutive games and are a game out of fourth place in the Western Conference standings. On Monday, Dallas erased a 13-point deficit to earn a 125-122 home victory versus Indiana.Β 

Cooper Flagg poured in a game-high 43 points on 16-for-25 shooting to go along with ten rebounds, six assists, and two steals. Dallas G Kyrie Irving knocked down 7-for-10 from behind the arc and finished with 35 points. P.J. Washington added 13 points (4-12 FG) and nine rebounds for the Mavericks.Β 

The Mavericks ranked in the bottom four of the league in offensive efficiency a season ago and they have moved up to 11th this year. During Monday’s victory, Dallas converted 25 of 34 free-throw attempts and shot 52 percent from the field. The Mavericks outrebounded the Pacers by a 43-27 margin.

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Minnesota winning without Edwards

The Minnesota Timberwolves have advanced to at least the Western Conference semifinals in three consecutive seasons and are playing without leading scorer Anthony Edwards. The Timberwolves (8-3) are riding a four-game winning streak and are a game out of second place. On Sunday, Minnesota outscored Utah in each quarter to capture a 115-100 home victory.Β 

Minnesota G Ayo Dosunmu matched a game-high with 26 points on 7-for-13 shooting and pulled down four boards. LaMelo Ball chipped in 24 points (4-10 3PT), five assists, and three rebounds. Jaden McDaniels added 16 points (5-9 FG) and six rebounds for the Timberwolves.Β 

Minnesota ranks seventh in the league in offensive efficiency and is averaging a shade below 119 points per game. During Sunday’s victory, the Timberwolves connected on 12-for-32 from long distance and shot 49 percent overall. Minnesota controlled the glass by a 45-37 margin and scored 19 points off 14 Utah turnovers.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks and Prediction

Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5

Minnesota G Anthony Edwards is recovering from an arthroscopic procedure on his right knee and hopes to return later next month. The Timberwolves have reeled off six straight victories against the Mavericks by an average of 14 points. Minnesota is the most profitable team in the NBA with a 10-1 ATS record and they are covering by almost ten points per game. Take the Timberwolves to win and cover at home.

Pick: Under 225.5

Minnesota is playing at the ninth fastest tempo in the NBA and Dallas ranks 15th in that category. The Mavericks are averaging 122.3 points in the last three games, but the Timberwolves have not allowed a team to score 110 points over the last four contests. Dallas is 3-8 O/U and Minnesota is 5-6 O/U. Take the under.

Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves win 114-105

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