Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday January 26 2026
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Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves picks are on the board again, and this quick rematch gives bettors a lot to chew on as we sort through the latest NBA picks. After a lopsided result on Sunday, the market has adjusted, but there is still value to uncover if you dig into how this matchup actually played out.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Timberwolves +7.5
- Total Pick: Under 233.5
- Projected Final Score: Warriors 114, Timberwolves 108
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors | -7.5 (-110) | Over 233.5 (-110) |
| Timberwolves | +7.5 (-110) | Under 233.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Golden State | Minnesota |
|---|---|---|
| 01/25 | -6.5 (-112) | +6.5 (-108) |
| 01/25 | -7 (-106) | +7 (-114) |
| 01/25 | -7.5 (-110) | +7.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 01/25 | 234.5 (-110) | 234.5 (-110) |
| 01/25 | 233.5 (-110) | 233.5 (-110) |
| 01/25 | 232.5 (-114) | 232.5 (-106) |
Key Matchups and Game Preview
The Warriors and Timberwolves just saw each other on Sunday, and Golden State walked away with a convincing 111-85 win in Minneapolis. That final score hides how competitive the game was early, as the Warriors led by just one point at halftime before exploding for a 38-17 third quarter that completely flipped the game.
Stephen Curry led Golden State with 26 points, but the real story was Minnesota’s offensive collapse. Anthony Edwards poured in 32 points on 13-of-20 shooting, yet he received almost no help. Every Timberwolves player not named Edwards combined to shoot just 28.8 percent from the floor.
Naz Reid was a major letdown after scoring 20 points against Chicago last Thursday, as he was held scoreless in 25 minutes. Jaden McDaniels went 1-of-8 from the field. That performance extended Minnesota’s losing streak to five games and highlighted how fragile this offense can be when role players fail to contribute.
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From Golden State’s side, Jonathan Kuminga was the only notable absence and he is expected to miss the next two weeks. Even without him, the Warriors controlled the glass and dictated pace once they tightened up defensively in the second half.
This total is still sitting north of 233, and that feels inflated based on who Minnesota has been scoring against. The Timberwolves’ offensive numbers are being propped up by big nights versus weak defenses. Against stronger units, the scoring has dried up quickly, including Sunday’s 85-point effort.
GSW vs MIN Betting Trends
- Timberwolves have lost five straight games.
- Warriors held Minnesota to 85 points in the last meeting.
- Timberwolves scored 105 or fewer points in four of their last five games against quality defenses.
GSW vs MIN Key Injuries and Things To Know
- Warriors: Jonathan Kuminga is out and expected to miss the next two weeks.
- Timberwolves: No major new injuries reported from the previous game.
Side and Over and Under Picks
- Timberwolves +7.5
- Under 233.5
Final Score Prediction
Warriors 114, Timberwolves 108
How to Wager On Warriors vs Timberwolves
This rematch is a good example of why line shopping matters. Using current sportsbook promos and checking multiple best betting sites can help you grab the best number on the spread or total.
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