Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers Picks & Prediction for Wednesday January 7 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/07/2026, 12:00 AM ET
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Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers tips off Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET from the Moda Center (Portland, OR) with TV coverage on KUNP 16. If you’re looking for more plays across the slate, check out our free NBA picks.

Houston Rockets: Space City Momentum

Houston comes into this matchup at 22-11 overall and 11-9 on the road, and they’ve largely played like the more stable team on both ends of the floor. Even when the offense isn’t perfect, their defensive baseline tends to travel, and that’s a big reason they’ve stayed near the top of the West.

Form-wise, the Rockets’ last few games show a team that can win in different styles. They beat Phoenix 100-97, took care of Brooklyn 120-96, and beat Indiana 126-119—and even in the loss at Dallas (110-104), the effort level and defensive competitiveness still showed up.

The biggest takeaway for me is that Houston’s “bad” games are often still playable, because their defense keeps them from spiralling. That matters against a Portland team that’s hot right now but still prone to giving points back in bunches if the pace gets uncomfortable.

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Rockets Team Stats

Houston is averaging 120.0 PPG and allowing 111.0 PPG, shooting 49% from the field. They also average 48.8 rebounds and 25.7 assists per game, with 5.7 blocks and 8.9 steals.

Rockets Injury Report

  • Isaiah Crawford — OUT (Jan 9)
  • Alperen Sengun — OUT (Jan 18)
  • Fred VanVleet — OUT (Jun 1)

Portland Trail Blazers: Riding the Heater

Portland enters at 17-20 overall and 8-9 at home, and this is easily their best stretch of the season. They’ve won three straight and the offense has been popping, which is exactly why the market is still giving them respect even as an underdog.

The Blazers’ last five includes wins over Utah (137-117), at San Antonio (115-110), and at New Orleans (122-109). They also beat Dallas (125-122) and had the ugly loss at OKC (124-95), but overall the trend is clearly pointing upward.

That said, the concern is sustainability. Portland’s recent success has been driven by high-efficiency scoring bursts, and that can get tougher to maintain against teams that defend consistently and don’t beat themselves—especially if Portland’s ball-handling and wing depth is limited.

Trail Blazers Team Stats

Portland is averaging 116.3 PPG and allowing 119.6 PPG, shooting 45% from the field. They average 45.6 rebounds and 24.6 assists per game, with 4.9 blocks and 7.9 steals.

Trail Blazers Injury Report

  • Kris Murray — GTD (Jan 7)
  • Jrue Holiday — OUT (Jan 9)
  • Jerami Grant — OUT (Jan 9)
  • Matisse Thybulle — OUT (Jan 17)
  • Scoot Henderson — OUT (Jan 17)

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction

ATS Pick

  • I’m taking Houston -6.5.

I respect Portland’s three-game win streak, but the matchup still screams “Houston control” to me. The Rockets have a major edge in defensive reliability, and Portland’s season-long profile still shows they can be forced into inefficient possessions when the opponent stays disciplined. I also factor in that Portland is missing multiple rotation pieces, which makes it harder to survive when the opponent strings together stops and forces you to execute in the half-court. If Houston plays even a B-level offensive game, their defence and rebounding should create enough separation to cover a mid-range number like this.

Total Pick

  • I’m playing the Under 225.5.

Even though Portland has been scoring big lately, this number feels a touch high given the injuries and the way Houston prefers to win—by defending, limiting easy looks, and making opponents work deep into the shot clock. With Sengun and VanVleet out for Houston and multiple key contributors out for Portland, I’m expecting more empty possessions than the recent Portland scores might suggest. If Houston dictates pace and the game turns into stretches of grind-it-out basketball, the under is the side I trust more.

Final Score Prediction

Houston Rockets 116, Portland Trail Blazers 106

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