Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions for Monday February 9 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/09/2026, 12:25 AM ET
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The Memphis Grizzlies head west to face the Golden State Warriors on Monday night at the Chase Center in San Francisco, with tipoff set for 10:00 PM ET. This Western Conference matchup will be broadcast on NBC Sports Bay Area and FanDuel Sports Network Southeast. At the time of this writing, the moneyline, total, and spread had not yet been released. For additional betting insight and daily analysis, be sure to check out our free NBA picks before placing any wagers.

Grizzlies Trying to Find Consistency on the Road

Memphis enters this matchup with a 20-31 overall record and has struggled away from home this season, posting a 9-15 road mark. The Grizzlies have split their last five games, recently losing twice at Portland, falling at home to Minnesota, while picking up wins over Sacramento and Minnesota.

From a numbers perspective, Memphis is averaging 115.3 points per game but is allowing 117.5 points per contest, highlighting their defensive issues. They are shooting 46% from the field and pulling down 45.5 rebounds per game, while their 28.7 assists per game show a willingness to share the ball offensively.

One area where Memphis continues to compete is pace and athleticism. The Grizzlies average 8.0 steals and 5.1 blocks per game, which helps them create fast-break chances. When their transition offense is clicking, they can hang around even against stronger home teams.

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Warriors Looking to Reassert Home-Court Edge

Golden State comes into this contest with a 28-25 overall record and has been strong at Chase Center, owning a 17-9 home mark. The Warriors have gone 2-3 in their last five games, recently losing to the Lakers, falling to Philadelphia and Detroit, while earning wins over Phoenix and Utah.

Offensively, Golden State averages 115.6 points per game while allowing 113.5 points per contest. They shoot 46% from the field and average 42.6 rebounds per game, with 28.7 assists per game reflecting their ball-movement-heavy system.

Defensively, the Warriors rely on activity and disruption rather than size. They average 10.0 steals per game, one of the better marks in the league, which allows them to generate turnovers and quick scoring opportunities. That defensive pressure is often amplified at home, where their energy level tends to rise.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Pick

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Spread Pick

  • Golden State Warriors -Spread

Golden State’s strong home record and Memphis’ defensive inconsistencies make the Warriors the preferred side here. The Warriors’ ability to force turnovers and control tempo at Chase Center should give them the upper hand, especially against a Memphis team that has struggled to close games on the road.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Total Pick

  • Over the Total

I’m leaning toward the over in this matchup. Both teams average more than 115 points per game, and neither defense has been particularly reliable. With the pace Memphis likes to play and Golden State’s efficiency at home, this game sets up well for a high-scoring outcome.

Final Score Prediction:

Golden State Warriors 121, Memphis Grizzlies 114

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.

How To Bet This Matchup

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