Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday January 26 2026
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Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets picks are on the Monday slate, and this matchup immediately stood out as I worked through the latest NBA picks. With injuries, scheduling quirks, and a total that is far lower than recent history between these teams, there is clear betting value to break down.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Rockets -10.5
- Total Pick: Over 224.5
- Projected Final Score: Rockets 121, Grizzlies 109
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | +10.5 (-112) | Over 224.5 (-114) |
| Rockets | -10.5 (-108) | Under 224.5 (-106) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Memphis | Houston |
|---|---|---|
| 01/25 | +10.5 (-110) | -10.5 (-110) |
| 01/25 | +10.5 (-112) | -10.5 (-108) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 01/25 | 222.5 (-110) | 222.5 (-110) |
| 01/26 | 224.5 (-114) | 224.5 (-106) |
Key Matchups and Game Preview
Memphis was originally scheduled to be on the second night of a back-to-back, but Sunday’s game against Denver was postponed due to weather. While the extra rest helps, the overall situation has not improved for the Grizzlies. Since returning from their two-game series in Europe against Orlando, Memphis has dropped back-to-back home games as a favorite against Atlanta and New Orleans.
The biggest storyline remains Ja Morant, who has been ruled out through the All-Star break. Depending on how the trade market develops, Morant may have already played his final game in a Grizzlies uniform. His absence continues to cap Memphis’ offensive ceiling, especially in matchups that require shot creation late in the clock.
Houston has quietly controlled this series, winning four of the last five meetings. The most recent matchup was a 124-109 Rockets win in Memphis back on November 5. Despite Houston’s recent defensive form, this series has consistently produced points, with the over going 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.
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The Rockets return home after splitting road games in Philadelphia and Detroit. While the under is 11-2 in Houston’s last 13 games overall, this matchup profiles differently. Memphis is playing faster, ranking No. 7 in pace over its last 15 games, and the historical totals between these teams have routinely closed in the 232 to 236 range.
MEM vs HOU Betting Trends
- Over is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between the Grizzlies and Rockets.
- Rockets have won four of the last five meetings.
- Rockets: Under is 11-2 in the last 13 games.
MEM vs HOU Key Injuries and Things To Know
- Grizzlies: Ja Morant is out through the All-Star break.
- Grizzlies: Santi Aldama’s status remains unclear.
- Rockets: Steven Adams is out for the next two months with an ankle injury.
Side and Over and Under Picks
- Houston Rockets -10.5
- Over 224.5
Final Score Prediction
Rockets 121, Grizzlies 109
How to Wager On Grizzlies vs Rockets
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