Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Picks and Predictions for Sunday October 25 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 10/25/2026, 12:30 AM ET

Memphis has started with two wins, and Sacramento is still trying to get its first. That’s the kind of matchup where the obvious pick isn’t always the right one. The Grizzlies have been getting results, but they’re playing on the road against a Kings team that should be pretty tired of losing. I wouldn’t be surprised if Sacramento makes this a difficult game. Make sure you are ready for all the NBA action with our free NBA picks.

The Grizzlies visit the Kings at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET. My preferred betting thresholds are Sacramento +2.5 or better and Over 232.5 or lower, with no broadly confirmed consensus line available.

Memphis Grizzlies Have Started Strong

Memphis enters at 2-0 after winning its first two games. The Grizzlies have shown enough offensive ability to get results, and that’s encouraging for a team trying to build some early momentum.

Memphis likes to create opportunities before the defense gets settled. When the Grizzlies are moving the ball and getting into the paint, they’re difficult to stop. Sacramento has to be ready for that from the opening possession.

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The concern for Memphis is the road environment. Sacramento can be a difficult place to play when the Kings get rolling, and the Grizzlies aren’t going to win simply because they have the better record. They need to defend consistently.

Sacramento Kings Need Their First Win

Sacramento is 0-2 after dropping its first two games. That’s not the start the Kings wanted, and now they have another Western Conference opponent coming into town.

The Kings have enough offense to compete, but the defense has to improve. Giving opponents easy baskets makes every possession harder, and Sacramento can’t afford to keep chasing games from behind.

I expect a better effort from the Kings at home. They’re going to have opportunities to score against Memphis, and I wouldn’t be surprised if this turns into a back-and-forth game. Sacramento needs to finish better than it has so far.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Picks and Predictions

Sacramento Kings +2.5 or Better

I’m taking Sacramento if the Kings are getting at least 2.5 points. Memphis is unbeaten, but two games don’t tell us everything. Sacramento is at home and has plenty of motivation to avoid an 0-3 start. The Grizzlies can certainly win, but I expect the Kings to be competitive enough to cover a short spread.

Over 232.5 or Lower

I’ll take the over if the number is 232.5 or lower. Both teams have enough offensive ability to put up points, and neither has established itself as a defensive powerhouse this early in the season. The danger is that one team goes cold from three. But I think this matchup has a better chance of turning into a scoring contest than a defensive struggle.

Final Picks: Sacramento Kings +2.5 or better and Over 232.5 or lower

Preview prepared October 24, 2026.

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