Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Prediction for Thursday November 5 2026
In Thursday night NBA action, the Miami Heat will invade the Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors. Tipoff is scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 10:00 pm EST and the game will be televised on NBA TV. The Warriors have been installed as a 4.5 point home favorite and the total is 237.5. For other NBA action see our NBA Predictions.
Miami in a tough travel spot
The Miami Heat have qualified for the playoffs in seven of the previous ten seasons ,but have not won a playoff series since advancing to the NBA Finals in 2023. The Heat (3-5) have split their first four road games and are currently in ninth place in the Eastern Conference standings. Last night, Klay Thompson nailed a three-pointer with one second remaining to lift Miami to a 117-116 overtime victory against LA.
Miami C Bam Adebayo poured in a game-high 35 points on 14-for-20 shooting and grabbed ten rebounds. Thompson was 8-for-17 from behind the arc and finished with 30 points. Two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo added 27 points (8-20 FG), 14 rebounds, and six assists for the Heat.
Miami played at the fastest tempo in the league a season ago and are still playing fast for long time head coach Erik Spoelstra. The Heat are a middle of the pack offensive unit and are averaging 118.1 points per contest. During Wednesday’s victory, Miami missed 30 of 40 long range attempts and shot 43 percent overall.
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Golden State on a winning streak
The Golden State Warriors have won four NBA Championships in the previous 11 seasons, but that window appears to have closed. The Warriors (5-3) are riding a five-game winning streak and are a half-game out of fifth place in the Western Conference standings. On Monday, Golden State made the plays down the stretch to earn a 116-113 home victory versus Phoenix.
Two-time MVP Steph Curry tallied a game-high 34 points (5-13 3 PT), seven assists, and six rebounds. Golden State G Brandin Podziemski scored 20 points on 7-for-15 shooting in 30 minutes of action. Rookie F Yaxel Lendeborg added 16 points (8-9 FT), five rebounds, and five assists for the Warriors.
The Warriors are currently ranked fifth in the league in offensive efficiency and are scoring 117.5 points per contest. During Monday’s victory, Golden State converted 31 of 37 free-throw attempts and shot 43 percent from the field. The Warriors outrebounded the Suns by a 44-37 margin and overcame a 17-point first half deficit.
Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Prediction
Pick: Golden State Warriors -4.5
Golden State C Kristaps Porzingis (illness) is considering retirement and the team has stopped issuing salary payments to him. The Heat had won three straight games in this series, before the Warriors scored a 135-112 home victory in January. Miami is 2-6 ATS and not covering by an average of nearly eight points, while Golden State owns a 5-2 ATS mark. Take the Warriors to win and cover at home.
Pick: Over 237.5
Miami is playing at the third fastest tempo in the league and Golden State is in the middle of the pack in that category. These two teams are currently in the bottom third of the NBA in defensive efficiency and the Heat are playing on consecutive nights. The Warriors are averaging 121 points during their winning streak and owns a 5-3 O/U record. Take the over.
Final Score Prediction: Golden State Warriors win 126-117
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