Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions for Friday December 12 2025
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Game Information
The Minnesota Timberwolves (15–9, 7–5 away) travel to Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors (13–12, 7–3 home) at 10:00 PM ET on NBA TV. Minnesota enters looking to bounce back from a close loss to Phoenix, while Golden State aims to extend its two-game winning streak. As you handicap this matchup, be sure to check the rest of Friday’s best breakdowns on our free NBA Picks page.
Team Overview: Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota has quietly become one of the more balanced teams in the Western Conference, scoring 119.6 points per game while allowing 114.8—a strong differential driven largely by Anthony Edwards’ MVP-caliber start. Edwards leads the team at 28.7 PPG with elite efficiency and has taken a leap as a late-game shot creator. The Timberwolves are 6–4 over their last ten, posting impressive road wins against New Orleans and handling playoff-level competition with confidence. Their offense has been explosive in recent games, and their defensive mobility allows them to match up well against perimeter-heavy opponents.
Team Overview: Golden State Warriors
Golden State enters this matchup at 13–12, buoyed by a much-needed two-game winning streak and improved defensive intensity. The Warriors average 113.5 points per game and give up 111.7—one of the better defensive profiles in the West. Stephen Curry remains the centerpiece, averaging 27.9 PPG while shooting nearly 92% from the line. Golden State’s supporting cast has shown flashes, particularly with veterans stepping up, but consistency has been an issue. Even so, their 7–3 home record at Chase Center remains a major advantage, and their recent wins over Chicago and Cleveland suggest upward momentum.
Key Players to Watch
Anthony Edwards (MIN): One of the most dominant scorers in the league this season, Edwards’ blend of strength, athleticism, and shot-making makes him a matchup nightmare for Golden State. Stephen Curry (GS): Listed as a game-time decision, Curry’s availability will likely determine whether this remains competitive in the fourth quarter. When active, he remains one of the most impactful offensive players in basketball. Draymond Green (GS): If active, his defensive structuring and playmaking increase Golden State’s ceiling dramatically.
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Injury Report
Minnesota has no listed injuries—an enormous edge for continuity and rotation stability. Golden State, however, lists Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, and Al Horford as questionable. Their game-time statuses will significantly impact Golden State’s defense and scoring rhythm.
Matchup Breakdown
Minnesota has the physicality and athleticism to bother Golden State's motion offense, particularly if Curry or Green is limited. The Timberwolves’ size on the perimeter and in the paint often disrupts Golden State’s cuts and dribble handoffs. Offensively, Minnesota’s ability to score in isolation and run efficient half-court sets gives them an advantage as the game slows. Golden State’s path to victory depends heavily on Curry’s shooting gravity and their ability to force turnovers—something Minnesota handles well, averaging strong assist-to-turnover ratios. If Golden State is shorthanded, their offensive flow may stagnate late.
Betting Outlook
The Warriors opened slightly favored, but injury uncertainty makes Minnesota a strong situational play, particularly if Curry is downgraded. Minnesota’s full health, superior late-game scoring, and recent road success give them an edge. The total around 225.5 reflects two offenses capable of explosive stretches, though pace may be slower if Golden State lacks key starters.
Final Score Prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves 118, Golden State Warriors 112
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