Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks and Predictions for Thursday December 4 2025
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The Minnesota Timberwolves and New Orleans Pelicans square off again on Thursday night after a wild 149-142 overtime finish on Tuesday. With both teams on equal rest following that track meet, bettors now face a rematch loaded with pace concerns, rotation questions and meaningful market movement. Below you will find a full breakdown of odds, line history, matchup analysis and our best NBA picks for this Dec. 4 showdown between the Wolves and Pelicans.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Minnesota -11
- Total Pick: Over 233.5
- Projected Final Score: Minnesota 128, New Orleans 114
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | -11 (-110) | 233.5o-110 | - |
| New Orleans | +11 (-110) | 233.5u-110 | - |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Minnesota | New Orleans | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04 | 06:24:05am | -11.5/-110 | +11.5/-110 | |
| 12/04 | 06:18:06am | -11/-110 | +11/-110 | |
| 12/04 | 04:01:41am | -11/-112 | +11/-108 | |
| 12/04 | 01:02:37am | -12/-110 | +12/-110 | |
| 12/03 | 11:06:16pm | -11.5/-110 | +11.5/-110 | |
| 12/03 | 09:41:59pm | -11/-110 | +11/-110 | |
| 12/03 | 08:38:33pm | -11/-110 | +11/-110 | |
| 12/03 | 08:11:01pm | -11/-110 | +11/-110 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04 | 06:24:05am | 233.5o/-110 | 233.5u/-110 | |
| 12/04 | 08:16:06am | 233o/-110 | 233u/-110 | |
| 12/03 | 10:57:51pm | 234o/-108 | 234u/-112 | |
| 12/03 | 10:59:51pm | 235o/-110 | 235u/-110 | |
| 12/03 | 08:38:33pm | 234o/-106 | 234u/-114 | |
| 12/03 | 08:11:01pm | 233o/-114 | 233u/-106 |
Minnesota vs New Orleans Game Preview and Matchup Breakdown
These teams put on a scoring clinic Tuesday night, combining for 291 points in a 149-142 overtime thriller won by Minnesota. Seven of the last eight meetings have gone over the total, and Tuesday’s shootout continued that trend.
Anthony Edwards erupted for 44 points while playing more than 47 minutes. Even with his heavy workload, Minnesota still enters this matchup healthier and deeper than New Orleans. The Pelicans, though competitive, are missing Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones and Yves Missi — meaning the team must again rely on smaller lineups, increased shot volume and a thin frontcourt rotation.
Trey Murphy III delivered a massive 33-point, 15-rebound effort, while the Pelicans as a team racked up a staggering 70 points in the paint. They also shot 57.1 percent from deep and 85.7 percent at the free throw line, well above expected averages. Their bench went a combined 7-for-8 from three. Replicating that level of offensive efficiency is extremely difficult, especially on the second leg of a back-to-back against a Timberwolves squad with significant defensive advantages.
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Minnesota has no players listed on the early injury report, giving them a major depth and conditioning edge here. If New Orleans regresses even moderately from its unsustainably hot shooting night, this rematch has strong blowout potential.
Betting Trends (MIN vs NOP)
- MIN: Seven of the last eight meetings with New Orleans have gone over.
- NOP: Four of the Pelicans’ last five games have gone over.
- MIN: Timberwolves enter the rematch fully healthy.
- NOP: Pelicans have covered seven of their last nine games despite losing outright.
Key Injuries and Things To Know (MIN vs NOP)
- MIN: No players listed on early injury report.
- NOP: Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones and Yves Missi expected out.
- Pelicans' injuries drastically affect frontcourt rim protection and defensive versatility.
Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side: Minnesota -11
- Total: Over 233.5
Final Score Prediction
Minnesota 128, New Orleans 114
How to Wager On Minnesota vs New Orleans
If you are betting this matchup, shop across multiple books to secure the best available line. You can also take advantage of resources designed to help bettors compare odds, bonuses and platforms:
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Expect Minnesota to control this rematch behind superior depth, healthier legs and a more sustainable scoring profile.
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