New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday January 15 2026
Knicks vs Warriors picks are front and center on Thursday night, and this matchup brings together a tired New York team and a Golden State squad that has quietly found its footing. Bettors digging through tonight’s NBA picks will notice early movement toward Golden State and the under, which lines up cleanly with the game script and recent trends.
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TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Warriors -7.5
- Total Pick: Under 226.5
- Projected Final Score: Warriors 114, Knicks 104
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Joe Duffy | +1,910.00 |
| 2 |  Steve Seagrave | +1,460.00 |
| 3 |  Sean Higgs | +1,338.00 |
| 4 |  Bryan Power | +905.00 |
| 5 |  Ben Burns | +519.00 |
| Date | Time | New York | Golden State |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/15 | 05:14:35AM | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | New York | Golden State |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | 06:21:32PM | +3 (-110) | -3 (-110) |
| 01/14 | 10:41:09PM | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-110) |
| 01/14 | 10:48:44PM | +5.5 (-108) | -5.5 (-112) |
| 01/14 | 10:54:39PM | +6 (-108) | -6 (-112) |
| 01/14 | 11:27:18PM | +6.5 (-110) | -6.5 (-110) |
| 01/15 | 05:14:35AM | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | 06:21:32PM | 232.5 (-110) | 232.5 (-110) |
| 01/14 | 09:14:43PM | 231.5 (-108) | 231.5 (-112) |
| 01/14 | 10:48:44PM | 229.5 (-110) | 229.5 (-110) |
| 01/14 | 11:33:32PM | 227.5 (-106) | 227.5 (-114) |
| 01/15 | 02:29:03AM | 226.5 (-112) | 226.5 (-108) |
Key Matchups and Game Preview
Golden State won both meetings last season, and while New York managed to stay inside the number as a seven-point road underdog last March, the circumstances are very different this time around. The Knicks are on the second leg of a back-to-back after a brutal loss in Sacramento, where they were blown out as a double-digit favorite.
New York’s shooting numbers in that game were ugly, but the real turning point was Jalen Brunson’s first-quarter ankle injury. Brunson only logged five minutes, and while there is optimism that he avoided a major setback, his status looms large over this matchup. Without him, the Knicks simply do not have the offensive structure to keep pace.
Golden State, meanwhile, is trending in the right direction. The Warriors have won and covered three of their last four games, capped by a 22-point home win over Portland. They also benefit from a light travel schedule, as they have not left California so far in 2026.
Even with Brunson out, New York did a respectable job managing minutes in Sacramento. Mikal Bridges was the only Knick to exceed 33 minutes, and Josh Hart’s return gives the rotation some balance. That said, this game sets up as a grind-it-out affair, which favors Golden State’s half-court execution.
Betting Trends NYK and GSW
- Six of the last six meetings between these teams have averaged just 214.2 points per game.
- Only one of the last six matchups has gone over 227 total points.
- Golden State has won and covered three of its last four games.
Key Injuries and Things To Know NYK and GSW
- Jalen Brunson suffered an ankle injury and only played five minutes on Wednesday.
- Brunson was seen postgame without a walking boot or crutches.
- Golden State enters this matchup without notable injury concerns.
Side and Over Under Picks
- Side: Warriors -7.5
- Total: Under 226.5
Final Score Prediction
Golden State 114, New York 104
How to Wager On Knicks vs Warriors
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