New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday June 5 2026
Game 2 of the NBA Finals tips off Friday night in San Antonio with the Spurs installed as slightly larger favorites than they were ahead of the series opener. New York pulled off one of the more stunning comebacks of this postseason in Game 1, erasing a 14-point deficit and closing the game on an 11-0 run over the final 2:15 to steal a road victory. We had the Under in Wednesday's contest and it cashed, but the pace and possession data from Game 1 tells a compelling story heading into Game 2 that points toward a pivot on the total. Both rosters combined to shoot 22-of-79 from three-point range, Wembanyama went 6-of-21 from the floor, and New York's starting five shot 5-of-20 from beyond the arc — yet the game still produced enough scoring to make Friday's 214.5 total look beatable from the Over side once both teams regress toward their normal shooting levels. For the full series breakdown and updated NBA picks, we have everything covered heading into Game 2, and the spread and total both deserve a close look before tip-off.
Quick Picks
- Spread Pick: San Antonio Spurs -6.5
- Total Pick: Over 214.5
- Projected Final Score: San Antonio 118, New York 101
Odds and Line Movement
San Antonio opened as a 5.5-point favorite for Game 2 before being bet up to 6.5, where the line has largely settled. Public money has been running heavily toward the Spurs throughout the movement cycle, with San Antonio drawing 68-69% of the spread action at multiple points on June 4. The total opened at 214.5 on June 3 at -110 on both sides and has barely moved, suggesting the market is comfortable with that number heading into tip-off. The slight juice adjustment to -112 on the Over and -108 on the Under as of June 4 indicates a mild lean toward the Under in the current money split, but the number itself has held firm.
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total (Over) | Total (Under) |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Knicks | +6½ -118 | 214½ -112 | 214½ -108 |
| San Antonio Spurs | -6½ -102 | — | — |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | New York | San Antonio | Public |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03 | 11:17:41PM | 5½ -108 | -5½ -112 | — |
| 06/04 | 04:36:50AM | — | — | — |
| 06/04 | 04:36:51AM | 6½ -115 | -6½ -105 | SA 69%, NY 53% |
| 06/04 | 04:37:30AM | — | — | — |
| 06/04 | 04:37:30AM | 5½ -110 | -5½ -110 | SA 69%, NY 53% |
| 06/04 | 04:38:30AM | — | — | — |
| 06/04 | 04:38:31AM | 6½ -115 | -6½ -105 | SA 69%, NY 53% |
| 06/04 | 06:50:11AM | 5½ -108 | -5½ -112 | SA 68%, NY 54% |
| 06/04 | 06:50:50AM | 5½ -105 | -5½ -115 | SA 68%, NY 54% |
| 06/04 | 10:10:39PM | 6½ -118 | -6½ -102 | SA 55%, SA 52% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03 | 11:17:41PM | 214½ -110 | 214½ -110 |
| 06/04 | 07:37:10AM | 214½ -112 | 214½ -108 |
Knicks vs Spurs Key Matchups and Game Preview
What made Game 1 so fascinating from a betting perspective was how cleanly it mapped onto the analytical framework we laid out ahead of the series opener. New York played exactly like a team spending the first half learning its opponent. The Knicks scored 19 points in the first quarter, then found their footing and followed with 29, 28, and 29 in the final three quarters. That progression is not random — it is exactly what happens when a well-coached team gets its initial reads and makes the necessary adjustments in real time. The Spurs built a 14-point lead, then watched it evaporate as New York finished the game on an 11-0 run over the final 2:15.
Now the Knicks enter Game 2 without that learning curve advantage. They know what they can and cannot get against Victor Wembanyama. The question is whether San Antonio makes its own adjustments to remove the plays that burned them in the fourth quarter of Game 1, and whether the Spurs can re-establish the defensive presence that held New York to 19 points in the opening quarter.
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Spurs
Victor Wembanyama shot 6-of-21 from the floor in Game 1, a performance that is far below what this roster needs from its centerpiece to win a championship. The Spurs' shooting numbers as a team were historically poor. San Antonio's roster outside of Julian Champagnie shot just 6-of-33 (18.2%) from three-point range — a figure that is nearly impossible to sustain at that level of futility. Champagnie made five threes and was essentially the only reliable perimeter shooter on the night. A correction is coming, and when Wembanyama shoots closer to his typical efficiency and the Spurs' role players find their range, San Antonio's offensive output should increase significantly.
The Spurs controlled the game for three quarters and managed the pace effectively, finishing with 99 possessions in Game 1. Their defensive blueprint against New York's offense showed real competence in the early quarters, and with a full film session now available to their coaching staff, the Spurs should come out with sharper defensive coverages that make the fourth-quarter collapse harder to replicate.
Knicks
Jalen Brunson is dealing with multiple lower-body injuries that appeared to be limiting him throughout portions of Game 1. His fourth-quarter performance was remarkable given those physical constraints, but the sustainability of that kind of effort on a compromised body over the course of a full playoff series is a legitimate concern. The Knicks will need contributions from the rest of their roster to take the pressure off Brunson, and their starting five shot just 5-of-20 from three in Game 1, a number that cannot be expected to remain that low for an entire series.
New York's ability to steal Game 1 without playing their best basketball is a credit to their toughness and depth. But Game 2 presents a different challenge. San Antonio now knows the Knicks can close, which changes how the Spurs will manage their rotations and their lead in the second half of Friday's game. The element of surprise that New York benefited from in the fourth quarter of Game 1 no longer exists.
Betting Trends - NYK vs SA
- San Antonio drew 68-69% of the public spread money throughout most of the line movement cycle on June 4, reflecting strong public confidence in the Spurs at home after narrowly losing Game 1.
- The spread opened at Spurs -5.5 and moved up to -6.5, a full-point shift that indicates book and bettor agreement on San Antonio being the more likely winner in Game 2.
- The total has held firm at 214.5 since opening on June 3, signaling market consensus on the scoring range despite the unusual Game 1 shooting performance.
- The combined three-point shooting in Game 1 was 22-of-79 (27.8%), a historically poor number that is nearly certain to regress upward in Game 2, supporting the Over argument.
- Both teams combined for approximately 100 possessions in Game 1, a pace consistent with regular season games between these two squads and higher than their NBA Cup Final meeting, which had a closing total of 233.5.
- The NBA Cup Final between these teams closed at 233.5, yet oddsmakers are asking the teams to clear only 214.5 on Friday — a gap that looks wide given the pace data from Game 1.
Key Injuries and Things To Know - NYK vs SA
The most important injury note in this series belongs to Jalen Brunson. He is managing multiple lower-body issues that were visible throughout Game 1, particularly in the first half when New York's offense sputtered. The fact that Brunson still led New York's fourth-quarter comeback is a testament to his competitiveness, but the physical toll of playing through multiple lower-body problems in an NBA Finals setting is real. Every additional minute on that ankle or knee is minutes that could compound heading into Games 3 and 4.
From a game-planning standpoint, the single most important factor entering Game 2 is the shooting correction that both rosters are almost certain to experience. The Spurs outside of Champagnie shot 18.2% from three, and Wembanyama went 6-of-21. Those numbers regress. The Knicks' starters shot 5-of-20 from beyond the arc. Those numbers also regress. When both teams shoot closer to their seasonal averages, this game will produce more points than Game 1, which supports the Over at 214.5.
The pace of play in Game 1 was roughly equivalent to what these two teams produced in their regular season matchups, and that game cleared the scoring threshold for a total that was set nearly 20 points higher than Friday's line. That context is critical when evaluating the total in Game 2.
Knicks vs Spurs Side and Over/Under Picks
- Spread Pick: San Antonio Spurs -6.5 (-102) — The Spurs dominated for three quarters of Game 1 and only lost because of a historically bad shooting night across their roster combined with a brilliant fourth-quarter performance from an injured Brunson. San Antonio will be sharper, Wembanyama will bounce back from a 6-of-21 outing, and the home crowd at the AT&T Center gives the Spurs an additional edge. Lay the points and back San Antonio to take control of the series in Game 2.
- Total Pick: Over 214.5 (-112) — Both teams shot atrociously from three-point range in Game 1 and the combined total was still high enough to raise the total conversation. Now factor in the regression that is coming from both shooting performances, Wembanyama bouncing back from a career-low-caliber efficiency game, and the pace of play that is consistent with totals significantly higher than 214.5. The Under money in the market is likely a reaction to Game 1's defensive tone, but the underlying numbers tell a different story. Take the Over.
Final Score Prediction
Wembanyama reasserts himself with a vintage performance, the Spurs' role players find their range from three-point territory, and San Antonio's coaching staff eliminates the late-game breakdowns that allowed New York to steal Game 1. Brunson competes hard but the physical toll of those lower-body injuries makes sustaining another fourth-quarter heroic effort extremely difficult back-to-back nights.
Final Score: San Antonio Spurs 118, New York Knicks 101
How to Wager On New York at San Antonio - Game 2
The NBA Finals is the most heavily bet event on the basketball calendar, and that means sharper lines, tighter margins, and more line movement than any other series of the year. Getting the best number on a spread that has already moved a full point from its opener requires preparation and the right tools in your corner.
For bettors who want a model-driven perspective layered on top of their own analysis, AI picks have become one of the most valuable resources available during the postseason. These platforms process pace data, player efficiency, injury reports, and line movement simultaneously in ways that manual research simply cannot replicate — and in a series where a single injury like Brunson's lower-body situation changes the calculus significantly, having real-time model adjustments is a genuine edge.
If you want to understand how a leading AI-powered platform specifically handles NBA Finals totals and spreads, the Dimers review is the best place to start. Dimers has built a strong track record on NBA playoff markets specifically, and understanding their methodology on pace-heavy matchups like this one can help you confirm or challenge your own reads on the total.
Given how much the spread moved from its opener on this game, shopping for the best available line before tip-off is essential. The Oddible review covers how that platform identifies line value across multiple sportsbooks in real time, which is exactly the kind of tool that pays off when a spread opens at -5.5 and closes at -6.5. A full point on an NBA Finals line is meaningful, and Oddible is built to help you find it before the window closes.
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