Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks Picks and Predictions for Monday, October 27, 2025
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Oklahoma City (3–0) beat Atlanta 117–100 on Saturday, while Dallas (0–2) lost 117–107 to Washington on Friday. Dallas is playing the back half of a back-to-back on Monday after playing at home on Sunday versus Toronto. Make the winning shot with our NBA picks.
Game Information for Thunder vs Mavericks
October 27, with the opening tip-off at 8:30 PM ET
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
TV: KFAA-TV
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Oklahoma City Thunder Preview
Oklahoma City has opened 3–0 and is averaging 133.0 points per game with 49.0 rebounds. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the league in scoring early at 45.0 points per game while adding 5.0 assists, 2.0 steals, and 1.5 blocks. Chet Holmgren is averaging 21.5 points and 9.5 rebounds, and Isaiah Hartenstein averages a team-high 11.0 rebounds. The Thunder have offset poor outside shooting (26.4% from three) by attacking the paint and converting free throws at a high rate, averaging 32.5 made per game.
Turnovers are under control at 12.5 per game, and the team’s defense has tightened late in games. Even with multiple guards out, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Nikola Topic, and Kenrich Williams, the Thunder continue to win through rebounding and scoring in the paint. Holmgren’s rim protection and the Thunder’s transition game have been the difference.
Dallas Mavericks Preview
Dallas sits at 0–2, scoring just 99.5 points per game on 40.4% shooting while averaging 18.5 turnovers. Anthony Davis has been the bright spot, averaging 24.5 points, 13.0 rebounds, 2.0 steals, and 1.5 blocks. P.J. Washington adds 17.5 points and 7.0 rebounds, and rookie Cooper Flagg has chipped in with averages of 14.0 points and 7.5 boards. The Mavericks have struggled to create good looks in their half-court offense, relying too heavily on Davis for scoring.
Kyrie Irving remains out, and Daniel Gafford is a game-time decision. Dallas has been solid defensively around the rim but lacks consistent perimeter threats. The team’s 34.5% shooting from three and high turnover rate have made it hard to stay in games against faster teams that have deeper rosters.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Oklahoma City has played better at both ends. Gilgeous-Alexander is the best player for either team, and Holmgren’s rebounding and interior defense should limit Dallas’s second chances. The Mavericks need better passing and fewer turnovers to hang close, but Oklahoma City’s rebounding and scoring pace will be too much. Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder win and cover ATS, 118–104.
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